- fact21% (4)15% (3)18% (7)Vote
- opinion79% (15)85% (17)82% (32)Vote
By definition, it's a fact if it is 100% true. That's how it works.
Besides, how does when determine this "95% chance of being true"?
In mathematics, we have words for this:
A theorem is a logically proven fact based on other facts. For instance, if X is a real number between 0 and 1, then X^2 <= X.
A conjecture is a mathematical hyopthesis or something that appears true but gas not yet been disproven as false or proven as true. One classic conjecture is the Collatz Conjecture which states this:
Let N be a positive integer that will be the first number in an arithmetic sequence.
The next number in the sequence is N/2 if N is even.
The next number in the sequence is 3N+1 if N is odd.
Keep repeating the sequence.
Eventually, the sequence will look like...,4,2,1,4,2,1,4,2,1...
Here's an example starting with 11:
11, 34, 17, 52, 13, 40, 20, 10, 5, 16, 8, 4, 2, 1, 4, 2, 1, ...
Anyway, aparently this is true. No one has found a value for N where the sequence ended, 4,2,1,4,2,1... So, we call that a conjecture, but we can't call it a fact despite it apparently being true.
But I want to so you an example where being "95% true" doesn't mean it is a fact... Earlier, I said this fact:
If X is a real number between 0 and 1, then X^2 <= X
This is not a fact, but it is true for 95% of the values for X. (So, in a sense, it is 95% true.)
If X is a real number between 0 and 20/19, then X^2 <= X.
Yet, this is a fact:
If X is a real number between 0 and 20/19, then there is a 95% probability that X^2 <= X is true.
(B T W, 20/19 = 1.052631579...)
So, to answer your original question...
Q: If something has 95% chance of being true would you say its a fact?
A: No, it is not a fact.
Neither. An opinion is something that could go either way, or has no solid basis. And a fact is a 100% thing.
It is a statistical probability. It could be wrong, and you admit that it can be wrong, but you know that the chance of it being wrong is very low.
I'd consider it an opinion.
A fact can't be argued against in most cases and that 5% leaves a margin of error.
That doesn't tell you anything. There's a difference between
"There's a 95% chance of smoking being a cause for lung cancer"
"We looked at 95% of all homicides in 2016 and they were gang related, so we conclude all homicides being gun related"
A fact is only a fact if it is 100% true anything else is an opinion.
An opinion because things can be widely known but have little recourse in terms of truth
Nope unless it's proven 100%
Unless something is completely true, it is always going to be an opinion.
A fact is 100% true.
No. there's still that 5%
Not necessarily an opinion, but definitely not a fact.
VISUAL EVIDENCE FOR A STATEMENT IS BEST
Fact , your dude on females account
Neither fact nor opinion. There's lots of evidence to support it.
Although statistically significant, it's not a fact.
No not fact.
I'd say more like theory
Nothing is 100% in life; opinions, facts, it does not matter. 95% is enough of a "fact" for me because I know that nothing is 100% certain.
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