Statistics Versus the Mainstream Media

Statistics Versus the Mainstream Media

We've been hearing it for years, and more recently, we've heard it from President Donald Trump: The Media is full of crap.

Fine Mr. Trump, you got that one right. Or at least it seems.

How many times do you see repeated headlines on your local(or the national news), and you eventually start soaking in, and believing everything which was said? I hope this doesn't happen to this community, but I'm sure it has before.

So, for this grand Take, I'm going to pull statistics from the most reliable sources I can find, as an effort to combat three major media headlines. Keep in mind, this is coming from the perspective of a resident of the United States of America. I'm not sure how other countries present their news, or what the big topic is in their country. While I would love to do many more media misconceptions, I decided to do three which seems to persist in the media the most in this day of age.

Let me present the caveat here: I am, by no means, saying statistics are 100 percent factual, or even accurate. With any statistic, they are misleading, or in some cases, purposely biased. I've also noticed statistics may tell the truth, but not the whole truth. My goal with this MyTake is to show the contrast with statistics, and the media. So, let's begin.

Statistics Versus the Mainstream Media

Media Headlines 1: Teen Pregnancy is out of control!

According to the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), teen pregnancy rates are at an all time low, as of 2016.

Statistics Versus the Mainstream Media

Image above, courtesy of the CDC, shows the declining trend over the past three decades.

Since 2006, the rate of teens becoming pregnant has dropped more than 40 percent. Racial demographic groups, such as African-Americans, and Hispanics, have seen their rates drop significantly more than Caucasians. Most studies have found that teen pregnancy, believe it or not-peaked in the 1950's! Of course, the caveat is, many teenagers married each other, so they were having babies in wedlock, and there weren't many single parents.

So, why are statistics showing a sharp decrease in teen pregnancy? If you're thinking birth control(or condoms), you're wrong, as studies also show that birth control, and/or condom usage has remained constant for decades. Instead, the reason is quite simple, and blunt: Teenagers are having less sex than they ever have. As a matter of fact, there are more teenage virgins than there ever have been. The average age for a teen to lose his/her virginity is about 18, which is two full years later than the 1970's! Yikes! Now, an astonishing 41 percent of people aged 13-19 are virgins! This number has doubled since the 1970's. Specifically high school students, a solid majority of them are virgins, with 54 percent of high school students(grades 9-12) claiming they are virgins. This is the first time in history that a majority of high schoolers are virgins. Even teens in college are having less sex than they ever have.

On this topic, it should still be noted that the teen pregnancy rate in the United States of America is higher than any other developed country in the world, which includes Canada, European countries, Asian countries, Australia, New Zealand, Iceland, and Greenland.

My thought: Even if teen pregnancy was "out of control", who cares? It's their personal life, and I don't have to be a part of it if I don't want to. It's not like teen parents are automatically neglectful, or abusive. Sure, it's not a good idea to become pregnant as a teenager-Since you most likely can't afford to take care of a baby at that age, and you're still developing yourself. But it's not necessarily an immoral, or "bad" thing either.

Media Headline 2: We have an drug epidemic, which is getting out of hand!

According to the Centers of Disease Control, and Prevention, drug use has increased, and there is no doubt about it.

Roughly ten percent of Americans report using illegal drugs. This is a sharp increase, especially among Millennials. To be more specific, drug use is more common among Caucasians, and males compared to every other gender, and race combination.

So, you might be thinking: What is the catch? The media is supposed to be wrong, right?

Well...yes, and no.

There is a huge catch, a bigger catch than catching a legendary Pokemon: The CDC includes marijuana in their "drug use" studies. Yes, you heard me: Good ol' Mary Jane, Weed, Grass, whatever you call it. By legal definition, weed is a drug. However, with this logic, markers, and any other "sniffing" substance can be a "drug" as well. I think we can all agree THC, or marijuana, or whatever you want to call it-Is hardly a drug-Or at least a drug no worth worrying about.

Excluding Marijuana, we have actually seen a slight decrease in drug use-Particularly among young people. This decrease is largely due to Crack, Cocaine, Crack-Cocaine, Methamphetamine, and LSD. There has been a slight increase with heroin, but only about two percent of people nationwide even use heroin, so I still think the headlines for heroin overdoses are a bit out of proportion.

For what it's worth, we can consider alcohol, and tobacco drugs as well. Tobacco use is at an all time low, with only 15 percent of people 18 years, or older using tobacco. And despite the fact you might hear about the "frat guy who binge drinks too much", young people(teens, and adults) are drinking less than they ever have, less frequently than they ever have, and are now less likely to binge drink than older adults. What, you don't say? Only 18 percent of people under 21 years old binge drink in a given year, which is an absurdly huge decline over the years. As a matter of fact, middle-aged men are the most likely to die of alcohol poisoning.

Statistics Versus the Mainstream Media

Chart above is courtesy of Responsibility.Org, which has a latest statistic on teen drinking as of 2015.

My Thought: I could write an essay on why I think all drugs should be decriminalized, but I'll save that for later. I don't care what people do to their own bodies. If people want to harm themselves, I say let them! It's their body, their choice, as long as they're legal adults who have graduated from high school.

Media Headline 3: Violence is a huge problem!

This is the big one! The mother of all headlines!

How many times have we seen a mass shooting make news headlines? Or about how violent "these days" are, and how we are now afraid to leave our kids home alone due to intruders? Well, this is the most controversial topic in this take for a reason: It's all politicized.

Putting politics aside, let's dive into this. We're not going to debate gun control measures, or expose any other forms of violence to push an agenda.

"Violence" is such a vague term, but one thing we can all agree on is that homicide is a form of violence-Quite possibly the most serious form of violence there is. According to the Federal Bureau of Investigation(FBI), homicide rates are at a 51 year old low, as of 2014(The most recent statistics on this).

Statistics Versus the Mainstream Media

WHAAAAAAAAAAT? There is no way this is possible, right? Well, it's true. Now, there doesn't seem to be much evidence that mass shootings-Specifically, and only mass shootings-Have decreased. However, homicidal rates in general have decreased. I've also read that violent crimes have decreased in general. This doesn't mean the United States if safe by any means-As we are one of the most violent countries in the world, but it does paint a more optimistic light.

My Thought: A teen parent is a teen parent, let them be. A "partier" is a partier, let them be. But violence is an issue, and I'm thrilled to see something which puts us all in danger, on the decrease. Why won't our media report these statistics?

So, what are some headlines you feel are blown out of proportion? Let me know in the comments.

Sources: Centers of Disease Control and Prevention

Responsibility.Org

Federal Bureau of Investigation

3 7

Most Helpful Guy

  • You know that nobody reads the data and attempt to interpret them in a meaningful way right? Even the data can get fairly problematic on their own without serious critical reading and even requires a complete reproduction.

    Most of the so called mainstream media ideas are caused by pundits. These guys aren't actual journalists who are bound to report the truth as they see it and do proper research. These pundits give opinions and they have been saying them like facts. They even attempted to discuss (falsely) with a fake setup like some sort of reality show and pretend to report actual facts.

    Every once in a while, you get a genuine journalist which real research and everything. These guys would lose out to the pundits because journalist are like nerds. They rarely take the spot light and appear in public.

    Then there is this habit of trying to get results from the scientific community. Nobody wants to have their research coming up as 'inconclusive'. That means if your data isn't actually telling you anything meaningful then you have a problem. Everyone would try to redo the data, cut down the sample or manipulate the 'filtering' to get something workable. They don't actually change the data. They just didn't put in the whole data. It's like saying there is a reduction in STD recently transmission (after you exclude people who have casual sex).

    There was this attempt at reviewing research psychology research papers by actually repeating the experiments. I think they found out that over 50% of the experiments couldn't be replicated and 80% didn't give the same result as the papers.

Most Helpful Girl

  • I love points 1 and 3!!! I say the facts especially about #1 all the time.

    • Right, I agree! As I mentioned, all statistics can be misleading, or wrong in their own way-But the media shall not be trusted from me!

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What Girls & Guys Said

5 11
  • I knew about all of these except teen pregnancy. I didn't know all of the exact numbers, but I knew the trend. I spend lots of time digging through government statistics on a lot of subjects.

    "I've also read that violent crimes have decreased in general."
    That's correct. The decline is across the board for violent crime. It's roughly halved across the board since the early 90s. That includes everything most people would think of as violent crime. Robbery is also considered a violent crime, and many people might not consider that one. (it's also gone down with the rest).

    The ambiguity of what "violent" crime means is one reason why it's difficult to compare one country to another. What is defined as a violent crime in one country is not the same as another. The United Nations has some standardized definitions which countries use to report statistics to the UN. The problem is that countries still use their own definitions and categories when collecting and recording the data. Then that data is adjusted to fit the UN definition, so much can be lost.

    There are also issues such as rates at which crimes are reported, different conviction rates, etc. Even within a given country like the US, it can change. A good example is rape. With the stigma attached to rape, the report rate can vary significantly from one country to another, and over time within a given country.

    Drug use. As someone who was a heavy "partier" in the 70s, I don't need to see statistics to know it's declined dramatically. I don't hang around young people in real life. But if drug use was anywhere near what it was, I'd know about it. Drug use at the scale of the 70s can't be hidden.

    One thing to consider with the statistics though, is the potency of the drugs. In some cases it's gone up, and in some cases it's gone down. Drug use can't be entirely measured in how many times it's used. The potency and type of drug make a difference. Also mixing drugs makes a difference.

    By the way, watch out for CDC statistics. They are not as unbiased as other government agencies. I've caught them lying with statistics on several occasions.

    "Why won't our media report these statistics?"
    Not entirely bias, although there's a lot of that also. I really believe most reporters don't understand the statistics themselves. It's not easy to understand.

  • I just wanna say:

    How long did you slave over this? It's like an essay 😱

    • An epic essay.

  • "have drop significantly more than Caucasians" why was that? Because they where significantly higher then caucasians. Kind of odd that you didn't add that detail, its kind of pertinent information. Like, as you said teen pregnancy in the 50s was due mostly because people got married and had kids in there teens and early 20's. As for the rates of teen pregnancy, you neglected to mention abortion rates, and from what I have seen contraceptive use has increased, especialy hormonal ones which tend to be more reliable and less obstuctive during sex. So those are not entirely straight forward answers, also saying they are decreasing again means nothing, its kind of like saying homelessness is decreasing but neglecting to mention the percentage is trivial and the reason its decreasing is because homeless people are dying. As you said rates have been decreasing, thats because of abortion, which has technically decreased by a whole.1%, and the fact that now teenage pregnancy is mostly out of wedlock rather then within wedlock. The context of the data is as important as the data itself. As for caring, single mother hood costs the public substantial money in the form of welfare which single mothers are more likely to have, they are far more likely to be in poverished the children of such women are more likely to commit suicide, suffer from depression, become addicts, break the law, and become promiscuis and thus cause more teen pregnancies and by extention more likely to be single mothers thus perpetuating hte problem and its damage to society. Saying so what is like saying so what if some one has cancer, its killing them thats why we give a damn about it, but in this case its not just them, its there children who did nothing to deserve that suffering, and society that pay the price. Thats why we give a damn.
    As for drugs, saying its less of a problem doesn't mean its not a problem so why even mention it? Well its a small tumor so we should just pretend it doesn't exist? I don't personally think any drug should be made illegal, do as you will, but thats not a good argument to make, to claim that since there is a slight decrease that its not still a problem (again I would reiterate that I am for legalizing all drugs, the problem isn't the drugs its just a symptom).

    • Violence is decreasing and the media doesn't report that because sensationalizing it makes them money. However it is still a big issue, its decreased for several reasons, one just naturally, two the way its reported changed which artifically decreased the numbers (at least in chicago) and its still very much prevalent in certain communities (primarily black and some minorities). So a decrease in the majority groups would push down the rates over all even if the others are still high. The other issue is crime rates dropped because of increased cameras and police prescents in these areas which are currently being called into question and deemed racist. So that is something to worry about.

    • In general however the media has lied, has ommited and has twisted the facts. For instance they are going into a fit about the temporary hold on people from those seven nations, six of wich where bombed by Obama. They didn't get nearly as upset when Obama ordered the bombing of those countries as they have of trump temperorarily haulting reffugees and immigrants from coming over (for about four months, two months shorter then Obama did for Iraq) until he has revued the vetting process. Now it can be argued that our vetting process has worked fine, that is my argument, but instead they take to moral grandstanding when they didn't give a damn when people where actually being killed by Obama, simply because Obama happened to be a liberal. Thats the issue. The issue where they lied about Trump supporters being violent which of course didn't happen and was proven to be false but then ignored the extreme violence coming from liberals attempting to pass it off as nonpartisan when it decidedly

    • I love your anlaysis! I'm actually glad you picked apart these statistics.

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  • Politics doesn't function on maintaining the status quo. Campaign promises are always about a problem that has to be fixed, even if they have to blow that problem out of proportion to get people in a state of FEAR.

    News media is exclusivly FEAR based. I live in area that hasn't seen a tornado in 30 years, yet every time it sprinkles the fucking weatherman tells you to keep your batteries and weather radio handy, like you need to be AFRAID of the rain.

    They need provocative, attentio grabbing headlines. They only get ratings if they give people a reason to be AFRAID, to keep checking what's going on not because they care about being informed, but because they FEAR when the threats are going to come their way.

    There is nothing to fear but fear itself.

  • How about the headlines that scream Trump is the next Hitler?

    • They are crafted for the feeble-minded. You have noticed they work better on female readers, or haven't you.

    • More like Mussolini. Collaboration of State and Business, or however that went.

    • Comparing Trump to Hitler is ridiculous: Adolf Hitler was actually intelligent, and competent. He was just a pyscho. Trump isn't a psycho, he's just an incompetent fool.

  • Well I mean, Trump says all three of these headlines are true. Things are only fake if they contradict him.

  • Too many people let their emotions guide their opinions :(

    The only thing about pregnancy is that even though it is in decline, the total population is on the rise, and that is a problem. Also the fact that it is usually uneducated people having more kids and educated having less which overall seems like a bad thing...

    • Actually in nearly all nations its at a negative rate.

    • @hellionthesagereborn

      The thing is, the sample of people is growing exponentially larger, so even if the rate of pregnancies is on the decline, the sample is so large that it equals a total population growth anyway.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
      en.wikipedia.org/.../...k_continental_division.png

    • Its only Africa that has a significant birth rate, its the only thing pushing the numbers higher and its expected to level off within the next couple of decades. All other are either holding or declining.

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  • The media is good at over dramatizing to get the ratings. So to make a good wide audience, they embellish a bit on the story.

  • I hardly trust both

  • THANK. YOU.

  • Memo from an English/history teacher to an English/arts teacher: per cent is two words, outside the borders of the USA.
    Noah Webster was wrong when he took it upon himself to rewrite Latin, as well as English.

    • Really? I was not aware.

  • I agree with most of this but sorry to tell you that THC is an actual drug. Just because it seems to be virtually harmless does not somehow take it off the list. LSD is also safe, yet it is still a drug, the same can be said about shrooms and dmt. Safe, but still drugs and not just in legal terms either. These drugs literally alter your brain.

    • I am aware that those are considered legal drugs by definition.

    • not just legal drugs, by psychoactive drugs too. all these drugs that I listed literally reshape and rewire your neurons to function differently

  • All these positive evolutions have been happening under President Obama.
    President Donald Trump is full of crap. So is Foxnews.

  • Those were some alternative facts.

    • Lol I'm surprised a Trump minion hasn't started shouting that yet.

    • I don't listen to Fake News.

  • Shhh! This information contradicts the 'alternative facts' that trump relies on to scare fools into voting for him. We can't let this out or poor people might start looking at the real problems and that would not be good for the rich who depend on misinformation to exploit the rest of us.
    Without fear the rich don't make money off war for example.

    Trump would not have been elected if he haden't fuelled the irrational fear of immigrants. Now he can increase his family's wealth (think free ads for Ivana crap right from the Whitehouse) and remove any and all oversight and protection, so that those 99% can be screwed over hardcore.
    Without fear what would he have run on? A string of failed businesses? His complete lack of integrity? His record of not paying employees for work they've done?

    Best keep these facts to yourself so that we don't start asking why the economic divide in this country is greater than it has been since before the Rockefeller days.

  • No, not all media is crap. There are so many reputable sources that an astute news consumer can find. It isn't even very hard. It seems that absolutely bs fake news first proliferated in right wing conservatism in the US, but there now fake news to support any bias. People who are educated readers and critical thinkers can usually recognize the fake stuff pretty easily. It's a skill we seem to be losing in the US as fewer and fewer children develop language mastery at an early age and have deficits thereafter because of it. Trump's cry of "fake news" is an example of the double speak he employs. People the world over are complaining about the problem of fake news, but Trump is not astute enough to recognize actual fake news unless he himself made up the lie, in which case he insists it's true. And much of what he calls fake news is usually factual, but doesn't favor him. My best friend's daughter was one of the major network journalists assigned to Trump in this election cycle and beyond. She has only reported demonstrable facts but he has called her names, encouraged his cronies to harass and physically assault her, so that she had to have secret service guards for months. He wants desperately to be liked, and it hurts him deeply when people say negative things about him, no matter how true. Linguists have analyzed his manner of speech and vocabulary and put him at about the 5th grade level.

    • " It seems that absolutely bs fake news first proliferated in right wing conservatism in the US, but there now fake news to support any bias." The first period is what the real astute make the self/believing astute like you believe: fine, there is room for everybody in this world, and you need them as they need you. The grammar in the second period, well, that explains the preceding one. But linguists are kind, and say your kind of people is at the cognitive level of the others.

    • @ttidau You wanna try that again? Your sentences do not make sense in English.

    • You should receive the answer of the month reward. Well said!

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