
How likely do you think it is that climate change will cause the extinction of the human race?


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1 mo
I agree with this statement. While some of the most comprehensive assessments to date do indeed paint a truly dystopian image of the future. None of them forecast total annihilation of the human race. We may turn the planet into living hell but livable hell would seem.
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635- Absolutely, unequivocally impossible. As a species, we're by far the most adaptable to, and least dependent upon, climatological conditions. And global warming is a laughable thing to claim could ever be responsible for the extinction of humanity, given that our species evolved in one of the hottest and most humid regions on the planet, Sub-Saharan Africa. If worst comes to worst, even by the most absurd pseudo-scientific projections ever publicly made, that'd still be an absolute maximum average global temperature increase of 10°F, over the course of the next century- most of which would be concentrated at the poles, translating to no more than c.3-4°F anywhere which isn't currently Arctic or Antarctic tundra. For historical context:
So, as you can clearly see, the world was already on an upwards trajectory of climate change, as it has been since the end of the 'Little Ice Age'- which itself was caused by a period of heightened volcanic activity, and initially triggered by the singular largest eruption in the last 2500 years in the Southern Hemisphere, that of Mt. Samalas in1257- which was larger than that of Mt Tambora (c.8x greater than that of Krakatoa, whilst Tambora was c.7x greater)- followed up by another three eruptions by the same volcano over the course of the next 40 years, each of them larger than Krakatoa, and with all four of those eruptions combined having had a greater influence on the world's climate than any others in the past 28,500 years.
What we're seeing, right now, and have seen since before, is the earth's climate, and average global temperatures, slowly RECOVERING from that shock climate-change event, and returning to where they rightfully should be in an inter-glacial period, and have previously been, during the most prosperous historical eras in human history. Even without our intervention having accelerated that recovery, we were already on an upwards trend of 0.3-0.35°C since the Little Ice Age regardless. And even with it (and without any more long-overdue volcanic super-eruptions to send temperatures plummeting back into 'Little Ice Age' territory), even according to the doom-mongers' claims, the average land temperature's going to rise to maybe 13, no more than 14°C.
The normal body temperature, for an average, healthy human being, is 37°C. The average skin temperature, for an average, healthy human being, is 33°C. The thermal equilibrium, for humans, when wearing clothes, is 31°C (before even breaking a sweat). Long-term, the maximum temperature endurable by humans with no negative impact upon their health, at Amazon rainforest levels of humidity, is 47°C (117 °F); over 70°C (158°F), long-term, in an arid, dry environment, where sweating's at its most efficient as a method to reduce body heat, provided that water's readily available.
The hottest place in the world today is Dallol, in the hyper-arid Denakil Depression of Ethiopia, which is 116 meters below sea level, and only has a few days' measurable precipitation every year. The annual average high temperature is 41°C (105°F), an average high of 46.7°C (116.1°F) in the hottest month, and a record high of 49°C (126°F) full stop- more than 4°C hotter than Death Valley, California. Yet plenty of people still survive and live there, no problem- more than 84,000, in an area just over half the size of Rhode Island, giving Dallol a similar population density to Alabama.
Could the Dallol become unsurvivable, due to global warming? Unlikely, but it's possible, if they're unable to import water, or if the environment there becomes a lot more humid- humanity could conceivably be 'rendered extinct' there, or forced to become reliant on air conditioning, to a similar extent that those in any place in the world where temperatures fall below 25°C/77°F (the minimum temperature endurable by naked, un-sheltered humans long-term with no negative health impact- or 21°C/70°F, in an arid environment without wind-chill) are already reliant upon clothing and central heating, and always have been. Could anywhere else in the world (that isn't underwater) become unsurvivable for us humans? Not a chance. Most other animals, though, they're not so lucky.
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