Most Helpful Girl
Pascal's wager is fucking stupid. If the only reason you believe is because you weigh it to be the better gamble, you're not a true believer and you're not getting into heaven anyways.
I got kicked out of a religion class at my private Christian high school because of an argument I had with the teacher about this lol1
Most Helpful Guy
No, it doesn't offer any proof about God at all. It is simply an analysis of what belief structure would be most self-serving.
The biggest problem, obviously, is... whatgod? It hinges on placing all your bets on a god so that if that god exists you get rewarded. But gods tend to be mutually exclusive. It says you should believe in god because if god exists you'll be rewarded, but if you believe in the god of the Catholics, and the actual god is... Odin, or something, then you're screwed. Or you believe in the doctrines of the Yazidi faith, but the 'truth' is actually that the Hindu faith had it right all along... There are a near infinite number possible faiths and interpretations that saying 'picking faith is the best choice because if you're right you'll be safe' is pointless. Probability suggests you will pick the wrong one.
It also takes a fairly self-centered approach in that it implies that what is most convenient for you personally is the best course of action, and not what is best for the world as a whole. Strictly following the doctrine of a god whose tenets include the wholesale murder of every other person on the planet that does not follow the exact same doctrines is not going to be seen as the most moral course of action by most rational thinkers. Would it be the best course of action to kill innocents in order to save yourself? Is your one life worth more than a hundred innocent lives of others? The logic doesn't really stand up as moral when you look outside of the self.
It also has some problems with the assumption that this one 'correct' god is going to punish every person that is good and moral but that doesn't follow it's precise doctrine. Someone who is good and moral and lives a life, but that was born in a different part of the world, and thus born into a different religious tradition, is essentially doomed to eternal punishment by the simple problem of geography. It also suggests that morally bad people will be saved through their belief. So this Wager sets up a scenario where good people are punished, and wicked people are rewarded, by virtue of guessing the right god. A god that is ok with that situation seems like a problematic god to follow, as obedience is clearly more important than morality, which suggests that the god being worshiped is not a 'good' god at all.
There may or be other reasons for a person to believe or not believe in God, but Pascal's Wager sure isn't 'proof' of anything. It tends to suggest the opposite.1