Since the fall of the USSR, Russia has held control of the Ukraine government. This recent invasion is due to the fall of the Russian-backed government in Ukraine.
The Ukraine is the most important USSR breakaway state, because there is a major oil pipeline running through the country. www.marcon.com/.../...pestoEurope_Manuel_thumb.gif Much of Russia's GDP comes from oil, so if a pro-Western government comes into power, Russia will permanently lose control of that pipeline.
That situation is completely unacceptable to the Russians. Pretend you are at home (in Russia), and the power lines going to your home crosses your neighbor's yard. Now you have a new neighbor (pro-West govt) and he decided to cut the power lines to your house. It will take you 10 years to build a new power line. Or you can invade your neighbor's yard and kick him out. That is essentially what is happening.
Controlling Ukraine is absolutely necessary to Russia. From a military and national security standpoint, I predict they will use an INCREDIBLE show of force to overwhelm the Ukraine. This means putting 5 pairs of boots for every 1 civilian in the capital, so that there is zero tolerance for uprising and instability.
From a political standpoint, any threat from the US or UN will fall on deaf ears. The US does not have the political leverage to stop Russia. An outright attack on Russian troops could start World War 3. No leader is stupid enough to do that. Any sanctions on Russia will be very timid, seeing how the US is still recovering from a very painful recession. Russia has the ability to cripple the US economically, since the US depends on Russia for 10% of its oil imports. Any sanctions to Russia will probably mean an equal retaliation through oil.
Russia also supplies 60-70% of Europe 's oil. So don't expect the EU to go against Russia either.
There will be no war or civil uprising. In the end, Ukraine go back to Russian control.
I live in Russia not far from Ukraine . Russia has not done anything to start a war. We only want to protect people who live in the Crimea from death. I want to say that a lot of people in Ukraine are a stupid, they don't understand what they are doing ... The USA are a sponsor for so called war between two countries. The USA were also a sponsor in the war between Russia and Georgia .
Ukraine is not trying to start a war with Russia. They finally got rid of their own corrupt government, and they want free elections. Russia (which is basically a massive nuclear power run by organised crime families) preferred the old corrupt regime to be in power.
Russia wants to go in, restore order and put the old crooks back in power. Ukraine wants Russia to piss off, and hold democratic elections.
Ukraine is a large country with a reasonably large military, but has no nuclear weapons and is dwarfed by the Russian military.
There will be a lot of movement behind the scenes, which the public won't even be aware of. But basically the financial powers of the globe will turn their combined financial might to threaten the wealth of the Russian oligarchs. And that will force Russia to pull back.
This won't end in war. It would end in the complete financial collapse of Russia first.
I don't think there will be a war: Russia has legal grounds Russian armies and militias eaily outnumber the Ukrainian armies and militias. A sizeable number of inhabitants of Crimea are overtly pro Russia. A sizeable number of inhabitants of Ukraine are overtly pro Russia. What will come out of it? After some show, shots and egociations, the Crimea naval facilities will get a GITMO-like status.
Russia needs to stop doing what they're doing. Someone needs to put an end to there non sense and put some fear into them. US always got involved with conflicts like this to prevent world wars, not because US is bullies. But hey, let them hate us as long as they fear us. US won't do anything though, we aren't what we used to be.
Well it sure does look like it if Ukraine and Russia are facing off against each other right now. the European Union and the united nations and president Obama are not willing to do any think to help out the situation. It can be said that they are weaklings and that Putin is a lion looking to conquer territory. But maybe his troops are just there for the Russians in Ukraine lets hope so because if not things are going to get ugly over there
Ukraine doesn't want to be at war with Russia but Russia has invaded which means something is bound to happen. The Ukrainian government was pro Russia while the people of the country are pro U. S./democracy. Their president was a freaking dictator. It was NOT a democracy. He was doing terrible things to his people. I see world war III in the near future
Ukraine didn't try to start a war at all, Russia freaking invaded them!
Ukraine doesn't have the strength to repel them and stay free, so it all boils down to what NATO and our pathetically weak President Obama does in response. Left to him, Russia will probably be free to carve out a new eastern bloc...