So to me it seems like the perfect opportunity for a moderate party to come in and have some success. I wanted to see what y’all thought.
Perhaps the better way to have asked this question is, “Should People Now Begin Voting For A Third Party Given Political Divide?”
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There already are, like my Libertarian Party (the largest non-R./D. party in the U. S.)
the Green Party,
the Constitution Party,
the Justice Party,
the Pirate Party,
and even the American Nazi Party,
Communist Party USA, and
Socialist Party USA.
The problem is that Americans don't vote for what they believe in. They vote for the lesser of 2 evils and repeatedly refuse to vote themselves into freedom by voting a multi-party system into existence, as does already exist in democracies across the globe. And with the "unelectable" idea floating around and voting being a self-fulfilling prophecy…
You'd think the masses would get opt for more options when "Deep State agent & felon" Hillary Clinton (D) and "racist, hate-monger" Donald Trump (R) were the major parties' final candidates, but that wasn't the case.
How bad must things get for the voters to actually act on their desire for more options?
I doubt it. First past the post just makes it so brutal to actually get anywhere. There needs to be a massive shift, which typically means a party splitting in two. I don't see the democrats doing that right now. TBH if Trump gets obliterated in the Mueller report (If, i'm not saying just you all wait he's an agent for putin, i'm saying IF) and if he's tossed out of the republican party and starts his own, that would …. be the sort of thing to do it.
Whether the democrats are moving left or right (and the republicans) is … dependent on how you look at it. Being anti-trade used to be viewed as left wing. Now, who knows.
Clearly there is and continues to be a divide between more 'liberal' and more 'left' democrats. While the AOC of the world get lots of attention (because her base loves her and the conservatives use her as a bogeyman) I think the left are going to be very disappointed. The reality is the democrat gains in congress are -not- from economic left economically disadvantaged areas, it's a big surge in liberal suburban voters. www.theatlantic.com/.../ is a good discussion. So to the dismay of the Bernie Bros and I suspect trump's base, the democrat congress will be a much more urban/suburban party then we've seen in the past, likely economically moderate while barreling forward with more liberal social positions.
This is to me a natural response to the republicans own shift towards being more anti-immigrant … Trump doubled down on that voter base and handed the upper middle class suburbanites to the democrats, who are losing their rural influence.
So what might a third political party look like? On economics, it could be anything, since i'd suggest there's no strongly pro market OR strong socialist party. The difference in American on left-right has become all social. I am not sure there are enough people who care deeply about … being socially moderate. So I guess a third party would likely de-emphasize social issues. I mean there -are- third parties. I guess the Bernie bros wing would be most likely to form one - one that says look, we don't need to worry about trans bathrooms, we need to focus on the working class, and all that will help everyone who is disadvantaged.
I think it's nearly impossible that a new party based around a high dedication to civil liberty becomes a major force, because it's really only something wonkish nerds like ourselves care deeply about.