Will violent crime spike in black neighborhoods as police back off?

RationalMale
After 2015 the homicide rate spiked in many cities, attributed in large part to police taking a hands off approach to black neighborhoods called the "Ferguson Effect." It applied only to cities with dense black populations. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferguson_effect#Background

How bad do you think the crime rate will spike in black cities/neighborhoods as police let black residents sort things out themselves vs trying to fight crime?
Will violent crime spike in black neighborhoods as police back off?
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