Search Results: heroes

Here are the keys, and Lichtman’s determinations for each:

- Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U. S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections. FALSE
- Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. TRUE
Incumbency: The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president. FALSE
- Third party: There is no significant third-party or independent campaign. TRUE
- Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. TRUE
- Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. TRUE
- Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. TRUE
Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. TRUE
- Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. TRUE
- Incumbent charisma: The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. FALSE
- Challenger charisma: The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. TRUE
- Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
- Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

- www.cnbc.com/.../...htman-election-prediction.html