The Republican base would just not turn out for her!
I get that in a one on one matchup, Haley vs Biden, Haley would win because she’d appeal across the aisle more than Trump does.
But guess what?
RFK JR is also on the ballot.
And those survey polls that show Haley crushing Biden aren’t accounting for that.
Amongst the polls that do show RFK Jr as an additional option, Haley’s support craters and RFK Jr’s surges and Biden takes the lead by like 10 points.
What does this mean?
A substantial share of Trump voters would rather hand the election to Biden, and defect en masse to support RFK Jr as a protest against the brand of fake conservativism that Nikki Haley represents.
Because RFK Jr represents us far more than the neocon, globalist, corporatist ambitions that Nikki Haley represents.
So no, Nikki Haley would not beat Biden in a general election.
Republican voters would not turn out for her and many of us would just vote for RFK Jr instead.
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