When the ACA federal subsidies expire at the end of 2025, millions of Americans, especially in Republican controlled states, will face significantly higher health insurance premiums.
Enhanced federal subsidies have reduced premiums by an average of 44% for enrollees. Without Congressional renewal, premiums will double, leading to a sharp decline in ACA enrollment from 22.8 million in 2025 to 18.9 million in 2026. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that about 2.2 million people would lose their insurance in 2026. The expiration could particularly impact low-income individuals and those in "red" states that have not expanded Medicaid.
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