Allan Lichtman has called it every year except (debatably) 2000. Is he right this year 🤞🏼?

Question

matchrestore · Accepted Answer

Foiled by the paywall on that link but I did find his prediction elsewhere. I'd say his track record is spotless... Can't blame him for hanging chads in Florida. I hope he's right.

Still-alive · Accepted Answer

Yes i fully believe he is

razelove · Answer

He may be right, he may be wrong. I just know neither party will accept the outcome. It's been that way since 2000 as you've pointed out.

If Trump wins I see another version of Russia collusion, maybe Israel collusion for a nice spin. If Kamala wins it'll be voter fraud from illegals voting, and electronic voting machines.

Not to like civil war level, but definitely riots either way.

GoodGuyBreakingBad · Answer

Thanks for sharing with us !!! Let's see election night

exitseven · Answer

I couldn't read the story but since it is the NYtimes I bet he says Harris will win. I think that Trump wins and wins big. The nation overwhelmingly prefers his policies and he is killing it with the men's vote.

The latest Gallup poll says that more people identify as Republican's then democrats. Then we have Harris's disastrous speech about the border last Friday and the figures released by ICE about how many convicted murderers (over 13,000) have been released into the country. Then we have all the states that were clobbered by Hurricane Helene that have seen President Trump organize charities and volunteers to help while Harris was in California raising money for her campaign. With about a month to go it is not looking good.

lightbulb27 · Answer

models are just that... models, they break when the game changes.

we will find out when a select few people vote in battleground states vote. What message reaches these people... the campaign leaders should know.

AviatorTom · Answer

I guess we will find out sometime in November, after the election. He has been wrong before.

KostasKouvalis · Answer

It's asking me to subscribe to read the article. Can you just tell us who he predicted? I have a huge bundle wagered on Harris/Waltz

paledreams · Answer

I sometimes don't like how he comes across like to my mind you know - sure he has his methods yet the way he "usually always knows" I'd feel like it's an unfair competition if two folks wanted to have guesses and he was "always" the guy who was right - I'd feel like not wanting to play that game 😅😊

Jersey2 · Answer

This is not a normal electorate. The country is wildly divided. The divisions are deep, and deeper than anytime in the past 160 years since the Civil War. Lictman has never seen such a year.

Plus all Trump needs to win is rain in Philadelphia and he will win Pennsylvania which is the lynchpin I think. Democrats don’t wait in the rain to vote history has shown.

Anonymous · Answer

Successfully predicting 9 out of the last 10 elections is not as impressive as it sounds. 7 of those 10 were pretty easy to call a month before the election.

Getting 9 of 10 just requires that you get 2 of 3 of the close ones (2000, 2016, and 2020).

So don't be too complicit and just assume Harris won like we did with Hillary in 2016, only way to ensure Harris wins is to vote.

DryGermanGuy · Answer

I have been following him for years. Obviously he has found the magic formula! 👍

Likes2drive · Answer

It’s not a foolproof system, hopefully enough people vote that want to work to fix this country than try to live off taxpayers money and not work and turning the country into socialism or worse communism. Maybe enough people will see what the leadership for who they are and what they have done and wake up and see how things have not been fixed

RavVid · Answer

His "keys" seem to be very subjective as many have pointed out

Kelly6 · Answer

@loves2learn I don't know much about US election but i hope he is wrong

Anonymous · Answer

We need to do everything in our power to prove him wrong this time. Miss cackling fake accent word salad has nothing but disaster after disaster in her record, from being a corrupt prosecutor who bailed out murderers and jailed innocents, failing as the border czar, and becoming the worst vice president in US history on an NBC poll. Nobody in his/her right mind should vote for her.

Snakeyes7 · Answer

We still have a month left. Anything can happen until then. The fact that it has been made official that the election won't be determined in one day already sounds suspicious.

GOLDFISH_smile · Answer

I don't know. Who did he predict?

WhitneySnow · Answer

Probably, just based on the odds

msc545 · Answer

H has a 50% chance of being wrong.

Cubus · Answer

wasn't he wrong about 2016?

OfDeath · Answer

I’m not logging in to that shit.

eagle1951 · Answer

never heard of him

Dargil · Answer

So did I.

Allan Lichtman has called it every year except (debatably) 2000. Is he right this year 🤞🏼?

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What Girls & Guys Said

Thanks for sharing with us !!! Let's see election night

Is 2020s a joke really?

Allan Lichtman has called it every year except (debatably) 2000. Is he right this year 🤞🏼?

Most Helpful Opinions

Most Helpful Opinions

What Girls & Guys Said

Thanks for sharing with us !!! Let's see election night

Is 2020s a joke really?

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