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Society & Politics

Do you believe Trump's tariffs will cause an economic recession?

msc545
msc545 Follow
Master Age: 39
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See results from this survey of the same question by others:

https://www.alternet.org/trump-recession-2671768472/

Do you believe Trump's tariffs will cause an economic recession?
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  • lightbulb27
    lightbulb27 Follow
    Master Age: 59 , mho 42%
    1 y
    7.4K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    2 quarters of declining gdp. I'd say yes,... reductions in purchasing in many areas and market going down means people tighten wallets somewhat. We were already way over priced.

    however, I have to wonder what counter balance there is in spending... I hear deficit going wrong direction... an additional $1 trillion. If they get $ into building new infrastructure... power plants, equipment, factories... he's got $4+ trillion committed from businesses... and that happens quickly,

    maybe not.

    but so what, people still feel the pinch as trade shifts and costs increase... more inflation in areas we are used to being cheap as well as things that doubled, like insurance.

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  • BonzoInBitburg
    BonzoInBitburg Follow
    Yoda Age: 56 , mho 35%
    1 y
    948 opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    I don't think it will be only tariffs that will cause the recession. International tourism to the US was down 11% in March and future bookings in Sept are down around 70%. Flights to the US are being cancelled. Nobody outside the US wants to buy American exports anymore. Any goodwill built around the world by previous administrations was destroyed in less than 100 days. Trump could and likely will cave on tariffs and there will likely be a recession because the rest of the world has turned on the US and is preparing a new global marketplace without Americans. The new reality is people outside the US don't want to travel there and don't want US exports anymore and that's enough to being a recession

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  • Anonymous
    Anonymous
    (18-24)
    1 y

    Possibly but everyone is know is working. He just stopped my job from going to Mexico.

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    0 Reply
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  • OneViewpoint
    OneViewpoint Follow
    Guru Age: 60 , mho 47%
    1 y
    3K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    You're not paying attention. We are not staring at another ho hum recession. We are staring at something much worse. A new depression. Go read the definition of a recession and a depression. Then go look at every asset class currently. Stocks, corporate bonds, government t-bills, real estate, raw materials, manufactured goods, everything. Then go look at what banks are saying about bad debt they see increasing and their cash reserves being insufficient with no ability to adjust given the pace of the collapse.

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  • ProbablyClueless
    ProbablyClueless Follow
    Guru Age: 33
    1 y
    1.4K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    I do not think that, although I can't honestly base that on too much more than a gut instinct.

    I think that people who are (very understandably) concerned about a recession are used to the economic system functioning a certain way, and they cannot imagine a reality where the economy doesn't need to function the way it has in the past. If the global economic system stayed the same, then Trump's plan would result in a choked economy.

    Trump's proposal makes economic sense, but you kind of have to restructure the global market's incentive system. On one hand, that's a really tall order and most people would agree that that's as good as saying Trump's plan is a fairy tale. On the other hand... Trump is making that restructure happen... so... I don't know, man.

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  • AviatorTom
    AviatorTom Follow
    Master Age: 59
    1 y
    6.3K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    No. Most experts who previously predicted the likelihood of a recession at more than 50% are now saying a recession is less than 50% probable.

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  • beefcakebradybatson
    beefcakebradybatson Follow
    Guru Age: 73
    1 y
    5.9K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    D**N SKIPPY !!!(What excuse will his groupies have then?)

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  • Anonymous
    Anonymous
    (36-45)
    1 y

    Absolutely not! Do yourself a favor and stop watching left-wing news.

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  • exitseven
    exitseven Follow
    Master Age: 55
    1 y
    27.2K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    No, ultimately it will result in thousands of good jobs in America and

    0
    8 Reply
    • exitseven
      exitseven
      1 y

      an increase in earnings that will go across all demographics.

      Reply
    • msc545
      msc545
      1 y

      HOW?

      Reply
    • exitseven
      exitseven
      1 y

      Factories will locate in the US and new markets will open up for our industries. More jobs result in a shortage of workers which drives up wages for everyone.

      Reply
    • msc545
      msc545
      1 y

      Really? When will that happen?

      Reply
    • exitseven
      exitseven
      1 y

      it is happening already.

      Reply
    • msc545
      msc545
      1 y

      There will be no factories in the US due to the labor costs here.

      Reply
    • exitseven
      exitseven
      1 y

      @msc545 if tariffs make USA made goods more competitive they will make money.

      Reply
    • msc545
      msc545
      1 y

      I repeat - no company will do manufacturing here because the labor cost is too high, and it is a lot lower in foreign countries.

      Try to understand that the TARiffS WIL MAKE US COMPANIES LESS COMPETITIVE< NOT MORE>

      Reply
  • Agape93
    Agape93 Follow
    Master Age: 34
    1 y
    11.9K opinions shared on Society & Politics topic.

    Yeap

    0
    0 Reply
  • missindiana93
    missindiana93 Follow
    Explorer Age: 32
    1 y

    I don't think so.

    0
    1 Reply
    • msc545
      msc545
      1 y

      That is because you don't understand how tariffs work...

      Reply
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Do you think Trump's tariffs will cause a recession or depression?

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