How soon will marriage become totally obsolete?

[Anonymous]

https://manishgoswami.com/the-future-of-relationships-are-marriages-becoming-obsolete/

[Jersey2]

People want relationships that are longterm. Those that don’t will eventually die off as that is how Darwinism controls behaviors that does not create new generations and propagate the species. Individuals may want sex, fun and no worries but that behavior will be weeded out through their own actions and the species will go on.

I clipped this for an AI response I asked about which relationship lasts longer , a marriage or staying together:

——

Marriage keeps couples together substantially longer than cohabitation alone.

Key data (after 20 years):
- Married: ~25% divorced
- Cohabiting: ~55–60% broken up

Even after controlling for education, income, age, etc., cohabiting couples are 2–3× more likely to split. The gap grows over time.

Reason: Marriage has higher entry and exit barriers, stronger identity shift, and built-in legal protections. Cohabitation lacks these.

Verdict: Marriage wins for long-term stability.

[Jersey2]

I asked the AI why it used a 25% rate for divorce as I thought it was higher. Its response was:

The widely quoted “50% of marriages end in divorce” is a **lifetime projection** based on one year’s divorce rate, and it’s outdated and overstated for recent cohorts.

Actual completed divorce rates for marriages that began in the last 30–40 years:

- U. S. marriages 2000–2010 → ~30–33% ever divorce (CDC/NCHS + Census projections)
- Marriages since 2010 → tracking toward **~25% or lower** (University of Maryland/Manning 2023 update)
- By 20 years specifically: **~20–25%** have divorced (NSFG 2015–2019 + ACS data)

Divorce rates have fallen ~40% since the 1980s peak. Younger, college-educated couples (who now make up most marriages) have divorce rates closer to 15–20%.

So for current/recent marriages followed for 20 years: **~25% divorced** is accurate, not 50%. The “50% myth” is stuck in 1970s–80s data.

[XXTruthfulOgrexx]

It's already obsolete. in my opinion. Should be transitioned to a 5 year license that ends unless renewed like a drivers license.

[Bolt1104]

Honestly I don’t think marriage will ever become totally obsolete. The form of marriage is changing but the desire for commitment partnership family and stability is still really deeply wired into people. What we’re seeing is more people waiting longer living together first or redefining what marriage means to them instead of following traditional expectations. Marriage rates have dropped factually but emotional connection and long term partnership haven’t. People still want someone to build a life with they just don’t want to feel trapped controlled or forced into a role like past generations did. So I think marriage will continue to exist, just in a more personal way. It’ll be less about tradition and appearances and more about choosing the right person and creating a healthy partnership.

[Gwendoline]

Its already obsolete for about 40-50% who can't commit and stay loyal to another.

[Jersey2]

It doesn’t work for most, marriage works better. This is from an AI query:

Marriage keeps couples together substantially longer than cohabitation alone.

Key data (after 20 years):
- Married: ~25% divorced
- Cohabiting: ~55–60% broken up

Even after controlling for education, income, age, etc., cohabiting couples are 2–3× more likely to split. The gap grows over time.

Reason: Marriage has higher entry and exit barriers, stronger identity shift, and built-in legal protections. Cohabitation lacks these.

Verdict: Marriage wins for long-term stability.

[AviatorTom]

Marriage will never become totally obsolete. There have always been, and will continue to be, benefits to publicly acknowledging a couple's relationship.

[HawkPerception]

Not soon. There will always be those who romanticize the concept of marriage and traditional times

[Keyboardkat]

This is what my lawyer friends would call a "leading question." It's a question that contains an assumption, like "when did you stop beating your wife?" Your question assumes that marriage WILL definitely, sooner or later, become totally obsolete.

But human nature is what it is, and the heart wants what it wants. As long as people fall madly in love with each other, and find one person they just can't live without and want to be together 24/7, people will get married! Sorry to bust your balloon, friend, but people are not automatons.

[OneViewpoint]

As women gain voting rights and access to financial systems and ownership rights to property, some of the reasons for marriage go away. As people become more educated, the desire for religion in general and religious ceremonies like marriage become obsolete and out of fashion. But there will be a certain element of the population who clings to traditional ways for a long long time. How long? For another century or two at a minimum.

[msc545]

It is not so much obsolete now as dangerous to the point that only foolish men will engage in it. Or men who are convinced of their own invincibility. Those sorts of men soon learn that our legal system will ruin their lives very quickly if they are foolish enough to get married.

That same legal system has empowered women to the point that they represent an existential danger to all men. All it takes is a single accusation from a single woman to ruin a man's life. Knowing this, would you want to be around women? Seriously?

[Crankor]

I dont think it will ever completely be obsolete but it def seems to have less impact/meaning than it did. There are some that are still more traditional that tend to value it more. But with how people view dating and relationships these days, (easily recyclable) its just a poop show as far as what the purpose of marriage is

[Bitter_Sweet94]

Marriage won’t become obsolete anytime soon.

It may change in form, but the purpose stays commitment, stability, family, and choosing someone with intention rather than convenience.

What’s shifting is the expectation.

People don’t marry just because society tells them to.

They marry when it feels aligned, healthy, and worth it.

So marriage isn’t disappearing.

It’s just becoming more selective, which honestly isn’t a bad thing.

[Nikki1989]

It will never happen. 2 years ago, it was a record for the most marriages in a year for this country. Google it if you still can't come to terms with basic facts.

[Asker]

So, you must live in Romania, Latvia, Hungary, Bosnia, or Herzegovina? It most certainly is not the case in the US.

[Likes2drive]

Definitely not here in the USA, maybe it’s better there in Australia for now

[Likes2drive]

It’s definitely working It’s way to be obsolete unless they start changing the laws and prenups being required

[Ariesman81]

Prenups are already required. Signing the marriage license is agreeing to the prenup established by the state you live in.

[Likes2drive]

@Ariesman81 it wasn’t required when I got married unless you’re talking about when you get the marriage license that you’re automatically splitting everything 50/50 if you get divorced. Prena pasta actually be done by a lawyer. It’s a separate contract from the marriage license.

[Likes2drive]

No idea why it says prena pasta when I said prenup. dictation is really weird.

[Ariesman81]

😂... AI is telling you it's time to eat.

I agree with what you stated. Just wanted to expound on it so that people are aware that when they sign a marriage license, they are indeed signing a prenup (an enforceable contract) which has been established by the state. It just so happens that the majority of state issued "prenups" only enforce laws on the ex-husband.

[Likes2drive]

@Ariesman81 yeah they definitely side with the woman since I couldn’t even get her for infidelity and she still got half of whatever I had and she didn’t even contribute all the years of the marriage as far as paying for the house and all the other expenses that go along with it. It’s no fault Marriage in New York now so I couldn’t do anything about it. that was 10 years ago.

[Ariesman81]

I feel ya man. That's why my prenup says that she still has to suck my dick once a month if she wants her alimony check.

[Likes2drive]

@Ariesman81 lol, would love to get that in a marriage vow also and make it weekly at least

[Ariesman81]

It is in the vows. To love, honor and obey. Why the state incentivizes shitty female behavior is beyond me.

[beenherebefore]

I think it will still take a few generations.

[BCRanger10]

Hopefully never. Marriage, on the natural level, is the foundation of society.

[ABC1x1x]

It already is. Sex robots and AI will kill it completely

[gottogames313gotag]

i hope never everyone deserves real love and stability in their life

[Smegskull]

I think quite the reverse. When welfare is gutted, because the government can't afford to be everyone's husband for ever, I think marriage will become more relevant again.

[Asker]

So, the purpose of marriage is just basic survival?

[Smegskull]

Essentially yes. For one partner it is personal survival, for the other it is genetic survival, for society it is cultural survival.

[Drumlin2001]

I don't see any benefit to it. It just loses me money in event of separation

[Anonymous]

No time in the near future

I don’t trust anybody named Manishgo Swami to have a serious academic opinion about anything

[Northstar84]

If I was to start over I’d not get married but simply have a parenting plan with a woman.

[captain_voidwalker]

Marriage is actually a good thing, it's divorce that needs to become obsolete

[Olgaa334]

Why would you want that marriage is important

[MasterKS]

@olgaa334 i agree.

[Olgaa334]

@MasterKS he must not be married himself and wants that for everyone else

[NakedFunNsun]

It will never be obsolete. People are wired to need people. its in our DNA.

[PeachyPie93]

Never since religion rages on..

[Anonymous]

Well it’s obsolete already. Women for money ho and men gay bottom for tranny

[In_Trance]

It already is.
For about 40 years now

[Anonymous]

Probably never.

[BarryLiverstone]

Not In our lifetime