Is a pattern change setting up a potential major Gulf hurricane soon?

[SeekerOfTruth007]

This is in lala land still, but GFS is hinting at possible major hurricane in the Gulf sometime next week.

AI models are confirming something rotating in the Atlantic, but have it off the east coast of the USA instead of in the Gulf, so there's a lot of room for error here.

I wouldn't trust these runs yet, but just keep an eye on it until it's within 5 days of possible landfall, which it's like 12 to 15 days out right now. We know how the last several model runs went this year which were beyond 5 days, so don't worry about it right now.

Updates

8 d

Not that it really matters this far out, but simulated soundings estimate the storm could be up to 120kts, or 140mph on September 23.

[Iron_Man]

Don’t bring anything to Miami. I don’t have homeowners insurance and if something happens to my house, I’ll be screwed. You can’t get a good insurance rate any longer. they don’t give good coverage and it is extremely expensive

[SeekerOfTruth007]

I don't have homeowners' insurance either. It costs way too much to keep homeowners and flood insurance, etc. Just have to trust in God, and those foam panels on the walls on roof. House is supposedly 3 times stronger than a conventional coded house.

[Iron_Man]

Well, I don’t have that foam roof. I’ve seen the commercial. Just a shingle roof. But thank you, my friend. I appreciate it.

[Iron_Man]

But I don’t need flood insurance because I live in a no floods zone.

[fishbone77]

Nope.

[SeekerOfTruth007]

The model runs 16 days out. It has a Category 1 hurricane in the Yucatan Channel on the 10th day and a Category 3 hurricane hitting Florida on Day 12 or 13.

Right now, it's not important, but as we approach a 5 to 7 day range, the model will be worth taking more seriously.

[strateguy632]

remember the prediction for california. no credibility.