I'm having a hard time reading this girl. How can you tell the difference between flirting for fun and flirting for intent?

Anonymous
OK, so over the past few months, there's been this girl who has definitely been flirting with me over and over again (her face lights up whenever she sees me, she teases me a bit, she's made plenty of physical contact with me like hitting me on my shoulder and kissing me on the cheek, sitting on my lap on numerous occasions over the course of a night, lots of laughing, eye contact, her and her friends, one of whom has also flirted a ton with me, looking over at me while talking, etc.)

It would seem like she's interested in me, but she's kind of a naturally flirty girl. I've seen her flirt with some other guys, too, but not nearly to the same degree as I've seen her flirt with me at all. Like she might dance for a bit with a guy at a party and talk with them but not much more. She's kinda out of my league, so add that to the flirting with other guys, I have doubts.

So, my question is two-fold: One, based on what I've said, do you think I have a shot with this girl? And two, how can I tell if a girl is flirting for fun or flirting with intent?
I'm having a hard time reading this girl. How can you tell the difference between flirting for fun and flirting for intent?
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