Sorry, chance of winning what?
Winning re-election for her Congressional seat? No question. As Speaker Pelosi recently said, given the nature and make-up of her Congressional district, a glass of water with a "D" after it's name could carry the district.
That's a no brainer. Although, given the degree to which she has neglected her district - failing for months to open a district office, for example - and the slow burning ethic scandal she has been dealing with, she could lose a primary challenge. Not very likely given the advantages that normally accrue to an incumbent, but not impossible.
Could she win a Senate seat or the Presidency? First, right now, she is too young to run for either. You have to be at least 35 to run for the Presidency and 30 to run for Senate. Leaving that aside, she is far too extreme for a wider electorate. Only about, according to a Gallup survey, 20% call themselves liberal.
That is nationwide. Liberals are a more common in California, but pretty thin on the ground in southern, plains and Rocky Mountain states. She might have a shot at the Senate in California, in the New England states or New Jersey, but her home state of New York is more problematic. (Downstate tends to be more liberal - albeit that it is a brand of liberalism that tends to be supportive of the financial services sector that is not well loved by AOC. Upstate tends to be conservative and would not have much time for the likes of AOC.)
As to the presidency, it still takes 270 electoral votes to win the WH, and there is almost no plausible way AOC could get that. It is hard to see, based on historical averages, how AOC could take much more than the aforementioned New England states, maybe California and, depending on turnout, New York, Maryland, the District of Columbia and maybe Minnesota. That's 10 states and the District, and that puts AOC well short of the magic 270.
Indeed, even in terms of the pure popular vote, given that aforementioned Gallup poll which puts liberals at 20% of the electorate, AOC would have a very long way to go to get to 50% plus 1. (Just as an aside, conservatives in the same poll came to 37%. Self-described moderates made up the rest. Suffice to say, she might win some moderates, but given AOC's pronounced views, it would be hard for her to appeal to groups outside her base.)
So, could AOC win a local government race in her home district - Mayor, City Council? Probably. A state legislative office - state House or Senate? Likely. A statewide state office - AG, Lt. Governor, Governor? Doubtful. A Senate seat? Probably not. The Presidency? Please wait till I stop laughing hysterically. Her current seat in the U. S. House of Representatives? No problem.
So that about covers all the elective offices - local, state and Federal levels. AOC has probably topped out - at least barring some massive upheaval in American political culture. On balance, I consider that to be reassuring at the very least.
Sure, she'd win a date with me if she worked hard enough! I'm not easy...
Win re-election? yes. will she, that depends upon the marketing:)
Win president... she can't run til old enough
Win a trip to mars... probably not gonna survive on her own, no
She's sometimes right, often off the left edge, fiesty, and constantly a target. I can't find much sweet in her, she's salty or spicy, possibly habanero fire level? Such is the time when political activists and social organizers can win the highest offices... without much training nor experience... like making payroll.
With no challenger sadly yes, due to her district, if a democrat steps up and isn't as much a Socialist, that person will beat her. Now there is an African American female who is running as a Republician that could beat her, however that woman only recently changer her party affiliation in order to run, so she is likely a RINO, Republician in name Only. In my opinion and I don't vote in NY, she needs to go. She cost her district over 20,000 jobs with Amazon, when she blocked them from building a facility in Queens NY. she did this because of the tax abatement the state offered Amazon to bring those positions to Queens. She needs to back to being a bartender , which is a good job as well.
Her chance of winning is either slim or non-existent. It is a very much upheld opinion among people that her proposed policies do not seem feasible in the long run.
Opinion
46Opinion
I'm not that much into politics, but i do think she might have a chance.
Hopefully not, I’d have nothing against her if she was surviving me a drink but I think her ideas of a socialist utopia and her ridiculous green new deal are completely stupid. I’m sure she a nice person and is doing what she thinks is right I just disagree with her ideas
In her own district? Probably she will win, unless she has so alienated the "Old Guard" of the Demunist Party that they get a primary candidate to unseat her.
Beyond that? Not a chance. She has alienated much of her own party (See above) let alone the rest of us.
I am a staunch conservative and I really tried to understand her positions but she is not very smart. She wasted the Amazon deal because she doesn’t understand financial arrangements. This cost her constituents what would have been a lot of money, enough to retire comfortably in ten years. The housing values alone would have been great, along with the tax money for better schools, better teacher pay, better equipped EMS etc etc.
The the Green Deal, total nonsense that was not thought out. Even huge green supporters laughed at it as unworkable. And much more but I am tired of writing.
What else is she running for to win? Miss Universe?
u She is probably one of the most unintelligent people I've ever seen. The fact that she is so shameless about it worries me.
I find it strange that numerous people have asked you what you're talking about, and yet you haven't clarified it. Maybe that was part of your joke.
I actually think she does have a good chance because too many people who vote for her are just as delusional to reality.
As she can pretty much mostly compete in her own district, sure she has a chance of winning.
I do know some people who live in her district, and they either find her dumb or they just don’t like her. But that is naturally not necessarily a majority opinion there
It is not possible for her to be elected. The powers that rule every aspect of the USA and own mainstream media, will not allow her to be elected. First they will start ignoring her so she gets no publicity and, if that doesn't work, they will bad mouth her 24/7 with lies from mainstream media and always the public believes and trust the media.
I have no interest in this really because I don't live in the US, but if some one runs against her who comes across as more approachable and with more common sense they will have a better than even chance of taking that seat in congress as at the moment AOC keeps making error on top of error and advancing policies that have not been thought through or properly costed.
Winning at work, first time I've heard about her. Is for presidency or something else in politics? If it's for presidency then no, America will elect dead dog's body before electing a woman... well at least majority of the men would.
God forbid. She needs to be shipped off to some island in the Guineas where they'll likely serve her up for dinner, then forgotten about.
I thought you were gonna ask if she was Hot. haha
No way. Here ratings are ridiculously bad and the more people know her, the worse they become. I still hope she is trying to. I like to see the shitshow.
Winning what? Re-election? Of course. She is in a heavily dem district.
Maybe you need to think through the question a bit more.
She is a moron, but so are most democrats and unfortunately morons are the majority of the world.
Winning what? She’s already been elected to office and as far as I know, isn’t running for anything else
Winning what? Only old people can do politics. The world is ran by old people.
Winning what?
She’s not currently running for anything.
Most Helpful Opinions