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Sorry, chance of winning what?
Winning re-election for her Congressional seat? No question. As Speaker Pelosi recently said, given the nature and make-up of her Congressional district, a glass of water with a "D" after it's name could carry the district.
That's a no brainer. Although, given the degree to which she has neglected her district - failing for months to open a district office, for example - and the slow burning ethic scandal she has been dealing with, she could lose a primary challenge. Not very likely given the advantages that normally accrue to an incumbent, but not impossible.
Could she win a Senate seat or the Presidency? First, right now, she is too young to run for either. You have to be at least 35 to run for the Presidency and 30 to run for Senate. Leaving that aside, she is far too extreme for a wider electorate. Only about, according to a Gallup survey, 20% call themselves liberal.
That is nationwide. Liberals are a more common in California, but pretty thin on the ground in southern, plains and Rocky Mountain states. She might have a shot at the Senate in California, in the New England states or New Jersey, but her home state of New York is more problematic. (Downstate tends to be more liberal - albeit that it is a brand of liberalism that tends to be supportive of the financial services sector that is not well loved by AOC. Upstate tends to be conservative and would not have much time for the likes of AOC.)
As to the presidency, it still takes 270 electoral votes to win the WH, and there is almost no plausible way AOC could get that. It is hard to see, based on historical averages, how AOC could take much more than the aforementioned New England states, maybe California and, depending on turnout, New York, Maryland, the District of Columbia and maybe Minnesota. That's 10 states and the District, and that puts AOC well short of the magic 270.
Indeed, even in terms of the pure popular vote, given that aforementioned Gallup poll which puts liberals at 20% of the electorate, AOC would have a very long way to go to get to 50% plus 1. (Just as an aside, conservatives in the same poll came to 37%. Self-described moderates made up the rest. Suffice to say, she might win some moderates, but given AOC's pronounced views, it would be hard for her to appeal to groups outside her base.)
So, could AOC win a local government race in her home district - Mayor, City Council? Probably. A state legislative office - state House or Senate? Likely. A statewide state office - AG, Lt. Governor, Governor? Doubtful. A Senate seat? Probably not. The Presidency? Please wait till I stop laughing hysterically. Her current seat in the U. S. House of Representatives? No problem.
So that about covers all the elective offices - local, state and Federal levels. AOC has probably topped out - at least barring some massive upheaval in American political culture. On balance, I consider that to be reassuring at the very least.
Sure, she'd win a date with me if she worked hard enough! I'm not easy...
Win re-election? yes. will she, that depends upon the marketing:)
Win president... she can't run til old enough
Win a trip to mars... probably not gonna survive on her own, no
She's sometimes right, often off the left edge, fiesty, and constantly a target. I can't find much sweet in her, she's salty or spicy, possibly habanero fire level? Such is the time when political activists and social organizers can win the highest offices... without much training nor experience... like making payroll.
Good body , no mind or soul
With no challenger sadly yes, due to her district, if a democrat steps up and isn't as much a Socialist, that person will beat her. Now there is an African American female who is running as a Republician that could beat her, however that woman only recently changer her party affiliation in order to run, so she is likely a RINO, Republician in name Only. In my opinion and I don't vote in NY, she needs to go. She cost her district over 20,000 jobs with Amazon, when she blocked them from building a facility in Queens NY. she did this because of the tax abatement the state offered Amazon to bring those positions to Queens. She needs to back to being a bartender , which is a good job as well.
@Stoner710 AOCs district sits at +30% democrat.
For her to lose to a republican she’d have to rape some kids then shoot someone.
@0112358 right now ever the campaign has just begun but Cherie Murray is a threat to AOC position she mostly what democrats love (and i like her because she smart but I can’t vote in that District )
She a immigrant
She black
She a she
Will just have to see how it plays out but I think she has a chance
Always remember, an uneducated voter, is the most dangerous voter there is. If you don't know who you are voting for and only voting by the R or D next to the name, stay home.
@Stoner710 there’s no chance. Literally trump would need to be polling at 80% for that seat to be in play.
a black female liberal Republican is running
@0112358 Republican is liberal, black, attractive, not a Trump fan
@Poormanscomedian doesn’t matter. The democrat lean on that district is massive. To give an example the other way, it’s about as democrat as the Texas panhandle is republican (+33 republican). And the Texas panhandle is the highest republican lean in the country.
It’s one of the safest seats in America. The primary is the real vote there.
@Stoner710 he’s in the low 40s overall. And that district is basically 80/20 democrats/republicans.
Most people want the government to do the things they want and would like someone else to pay for it.
Interestingly how well the government does the things it does is almost a bigger driver of how a country is then where it sits on the capitalism to demsoc capitalist spectrum. Efficiency and low corruption matter a lot.
Her chance of winning is either slim or non-existent. It is a very much upheld opinion among people that her proposed policies do not seem feasible in the long run.
Opinion
46Opinion
I'm not that much into politics, but i do think she might have a chance.
Hopefully not, I’d have nothing against her if she was surviving me a drink but I think her ideas of a socialist utopia and her ridiculous green new deal are completely stupid. I’m sure she a nice person and is doing what she thinks is right I just disagree with her ideas
I find it strange that numerous people have asked you what you're talking about, and yet you haven't clarified it. Maybe that was part of your joke.
They mean reelection, she would have more negatives than Hillary to be elected President
@Poormanscomedian
According to the author's update, he means winning the presidency. And according to my calculations... because of her age, she won't be eligible to run for the presidency until 2028.
So, no, I don't think she will win. However, if she was one year older, I can easily see her winning in 2024. Trump is a one-of -a-kind, and I don't see another Trump coming along for decades.
So because we will probably get a weak Republican candidate in 2024 (Like McCain) I predict that a socialist will win by a landslide. And had AOC been born a year earlier, I bet she would be that winner.
(Please double check my math, because Aljazeera is predicting she'll become the first female president in 2024. But the math just doesn't seem to work out. She won't be 35 until October of 2025)
So I still predict a socialist winning in 2024, but it won't be her. But by the time 2028 rolls along, the country will really be feeling buyer's remorse for electing a far left wacko, and they'll shift back to the middle ground. 
But I kind of wish she would win in 2024. Can you imagine how fun GAG would be if it was our turn to bash the prez? :)
Nope, VP Pence gives in and won't fight back, and who would go through a witch hunt like Trump to President.
@Poormanscomedian
We'll never see another Trump in our lifetime. I read his book. He works from 6 am to midnight, 7 days per week. He's a machine.
Oh, and I think I messed up on my math. I thought AOC was 28, but she's 29.
So forget about what I said. I think she will win in 2024!
In her own district? Probably she will win, unless she has so alienated the "Old Guard" of the Demunist Party that they get a primary candidate to unseat her.
Beyond that? Not a chance. She has alienated much of her own party (See above) let alone the rest of us.
I am a staunch conservative and I really tried to understand her positions but she is not very smart. She wasted the Amazon deal because she doesn’t understand financial arrangements. This cost her constituents what would have been a lot of money, enough to retire comfortably in ten years. The housing values alone would have been great, along with the tax money for better schools, better teacher pay, better equipped EMS etc etc.
The the Green Deal, total nonsense that was not thought out. Even huge green supporters laughed at it as unworkable. And much more but I am tired of writing.
What else is she running for to win? Miss Universe?
now she is attractive and has a nice body
Most famous person before they switched to a porn career?
u She is probably one of the most unintelligent people I've ever seen. The fact that she is so shameless about it worries me.
I actually think she does have a good chance because too many people who vote for her are just as delusional to reality.
Sad, isn't it?
I have no interest in this really because I don't live in the US, but if some one runs against her who comes across as more approachable and with more common sense they will have a better than even chance of taking that seat in congress as at the moment AOC keeps making error on top of error and advancing policies that have not been thought through or properly costed.
As she can pretty much mostly compete in her own district, sure she has a chance of winning.
I do know some people who live in her district, and they either find her dumb or they just don’t like her. But that is naturally not necessarily a majority opinion there
It is not possible for her to be elected. The powers that rule every aspect of the USA and own mainstream media, will not allow her to be elected. First they will start ignoring her so she gets no publicity and, if that doesn't work, they will bad mouth her 24/7 with lies from mainstream media and always the public believes and trust the media.
Winning at work, first time I've heard about her. Is for presidency or something else in politics? If it's for presidency then no, America will elect dead dog's body before electing a woman... well at least majority of the men would.
what not work*
@June871 lol hunny, tell me how female president we have had? But anyway, crazy or not don't fool yourself alright, she's not getting elected either way.
@June871 it's politics... they're all damn crazy! lol
@June871 shrug... I don't know. I don't care much for politics so.. meh.
@June871 I said it as in nonchalantly.
God forbid. She needs to be shipped off to some island in the Guineas where they'll likely serve her up for dinner, then forgotten about.
I thought you were gonna ask if she was Hot. haha
Haha she is alright. She gets a lot of hate.
I actually like her Idgaf attitude. Even though I heavily disagree with her on most things
I don't know what she is running for, but I think she will win and stick around for a while
No way. Here ratings are ridiculously bad and the more people know her, the worse they become. I still hope she is trying to. I like to see the shitshow.
Winning what? Re-election? Of course. She is in a heavily dem district.
Maybe you need to think through the question a bit more.
She is a moron, but so are most democrats and unfortunately morons are the majority of the world.
Winning what? She’s already been elected to office and as far as I know, isn’t running for anything else
Winning what? Only old people can do politics. The world is ran by old people.
what is old?
Winning what?
She’s not currently running for anything.
She has no chance of ever being President. She isn't rich enough, smart enough, or a good enough speaker to ever get to even a Senator position, let alone the Presidency.
The Presidency, no
Her district, yes (it's an easy district to win, a slice of bologna with a D painted on it could win that district)
I really like this girl's energy, and I hope she wins if she ever runs for presidency
you must be on drugs
I'm pretty sure she's too young for the presidency. One has to be at least 35 to be elected President.
@CopperFlame Last I heard, it was 42!
She's already a congresswoman.. so I assumed the asker was talking about her run for presidency in future.. Also I know about American politics than most Americans themselves, I like authenticity and that's something very rare in politicians.. her policies might seem too far but at least she genuinely cares and is transparent about her intentions. She also doesn't take corporate money which is a huge plus for me because corporations are running America, politicians don't represent interests of common Americans, they represent corporations (especially the Republicans).
@Twenty2 "corrupted man" and "gonna do good for the country" are two contradictory statements
@Twenty2 sure :)
That's why we elected Trump. Apparently, you don't understand it well enough!
@Twenty2 Trump's not corrupted, Clinton is!
cinderelli I agree! What DID the last 4 presidents do for the country?
@Twenty2 If all you know is what CNN tells you, you don't know very much!
I don't watch piece of shit news channels. But I am feeling that you are taking corrupt in a wrong sense. Corrupt means a person who doesn't play fair. Recently, he made a bold statement on Kashmir which was a fucking lie but if it wasn't Narendra Modi then maybe he would have had the upper hand on the matter.
@Twenty2 Right, a person who cheats, steals, plays dirty, does all sorts of underhanded things to get their way. I don't watch any news so I have no idea what said about Kashmir.
Nope cause she made a name for herself as a big shot and people don't want see that happen.
No you could run a lump of shit in her place and it would still win because the district is so heavily Democrat. The only person that's gonna dethrone her is another Democrat.
Win what? I like Latinas, but she comes across as a kook.
Chance of winning what? She’s already a representative.
Win what exactly.
If it’s a stupidly contest she will definitely win.
Winning what?
She "won" the one of the seats for NY.
Do you mean in her next re-election cycle?
Win what?
No, she is far too crazy and not down to Earth enough.
Unless the law has changed, she isn't old enough to be elected president.
That being said, With her ideas, there isn't enough money growing on the money trees to support her ideas.
She is nothing more Latino Nazi. A complete communists out to destroy the USA
She wins everyday when this old conservative white men in congress lose they shit over her calling them out on they shit. She is a woman, and a not white. Oh it eats them up inside
Ha. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHABABABABABABANAJANAJAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
Omg. There is 0% her becoming president.
I have hope in humanity and don't think she'll win.
I really don't know what she's supposed to win. Is she running for anything?
What is she trying to win?
my affections
Absolutely not.
Tbh I don’t think she has a chance
She is uninformed about just about everything
She already won, stupid.
Supercutebutt isn't that smelly lol?
Winning what? She’s already in Congress.
Probably , she couldn't here in Indiana
Winning what? An idiot of the year award?
Winning what? Isn’t she already elected?
She MIGHT have a chance of being dog catcher!
Winning what? Did she enter a raffle?
Nope, and thank God.
She ain't old enough to be pres sucka!
Anybody but trump, at this point
Not a snowflake's chance in Hell...
Simples...
She is under 35 she can't even run
Not sure but she looks kind of like a man.
No..
She should run for president
She already won.
... Right I have no idea what the fuck this guy is even referring to. "Winning" what?
A political troll on G@G? Surely you jest.
@Evil_Chuck Right, never seen that before. Weird right?
@Evil_Chuck I think the best option is just to report each question/post like this for spamming/trolling and hope they take it down. I already reported this one.
I know but it really should.
Nope.
whooooooo?
I'd take a BJ from her
No. she's ridiculous
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