On September 18, 2022, US President Joe Biden said "the pandemic is over."
Let's check the numbers and see if he's right.
All data in this myTake is from the WHO's website that monitors the pandemic, specifically using data for the United States. A useful measurement that has been used by the experts is the "Previous 7-Day Average" and the graphs below show running totals and the 7-day average. Each of the graphs show data over time (horizontal axis, from 1-Jan-2020 to 20-Sep-2022, inclusive), with the vertical axis showing the data being measured.
Let's first take a look at the number of cases in the United States.
The data shows that the number of cases are still happening, at an average of about 50 thousand per day, for a total of almost 100 million cases.
Perhaps more important than cases, though, is the number of deaths.
Like cases, the data shows that deaths are still happening, at an average of less than 500 per day, for a total of just over 1 million deaths. Perhaps more important is that this" less than 500 deaths per day" has been happening for the past 6 months.
Finally, let's look at a statistic that is often looked at... what is the fatality rate. In other words, for every 100 people who contract the virus, how many die?
After all the peaks and valleys of the past (where the fatality rate has gone as high as 8 deaths per 100 cases), the fatality rate has been less than 1 for the past 7 months, and is averaging about 0.5 deaths per 100 cases (or 1 death for every 200 cases).
Looking at all this data, is President Biden right? The WHO isn't ready to declare the pandemic over, though it says that the end is in sight.
What do you think?