Kamala Harris will win election, predicts Polling 'Nostradamus.’ How does this make you feel?

[supercutebutt]

In 40 years, Allan Lichtman has correctly forecast all US Presidential races correct, except for one. But the one he got "wrong" was Al Gore’s "loss," which technically wasn't a loss, since Jeb Bush ensured his brother George would win Florida by having the Republican Florida Supreme Court rule in his favor.

Mr. Lichtman says Trump is on track to lose. How do you feel? VOTE BELOW!

WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.

Spoiler alert: it’s Vice President Kamala Harris.

Lichtman said in a video, first reported by The New York Times, that he based his prediction on thirteen keys or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party.”

CLICK HERE for ARTICLE!

I am happy :)

I am sad :(

I don't trust this supposed 'Nostradamus'

[ManInChains]

- Party mandate: good for republicans
- Context: No serious contest for the incumbent party nomination, true? False! There was a serious contest for it. It was a matter of huge contention how they handled the primary to keep people out! (RFK Jr)
Incumbency: Victor of the primary is not the candidate. This benefits Trump.
- Third party: There is no significant third party. True.
- Short term economy: True? Are we not in a recession? Don Lemon went around asking people who they’re voting for and they said Trump because of the economy. People’s groceries? My rent? My workplace payroll struggling! False!
- Long term economy: True
- Policy change: the incumbent administration affects major changes in national policy? True? WHAT? HARRIS ISN'T OFFERING ANY CHANGE! Inflation reduction act already happened. Policies they’ve proposed and acted, what change could they bring about as the same administration? FALSE!
- Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. True? THE PALESTINIAN PROTESTS AND THEY'RE EVEN PROTESTING HARRIS! 😂 FALSE!
- Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal? True? WHAT? THE PRESIDENT WAS OUSTED DURING THE 11th HOUR AS THE WHOLE MEDIA SAID THEY WERE SECRETLY WITHOLDING INFO ABOUT HIS COGNITIVE DECLINE! THATS THE INCUMBENT ADMINISTRATION! FALSE!
- Incumbent charisma: The incumbent is charismatic or a national hero. HUNTER BIDEN, ETC! FALSE.
Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate not charismatic or a national hero. True? Trump is charismatic and sure he is hated by the left but I would argue that he is also adored by just as many if not more.
Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign military affairs. HOLY CRAP! ABBEY GATE SCANDAL? GOLD STAR FAMILIES HEAVILY CRITICIZING THE BIDEN HARRIS ADMINISTRATION FOR BESMIRCHING THEIR NAME FOR INSULTING TRUMP WHEN THEY INVITED HIM NOT TO MENTION AFGHANISTAN WAS A MAJOR FAILURE NOT TO MENTION ISRAEL IS RESULTING IN MASSIVE PROTESTS! False!
Foreign military success: the incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs? False

[supercutebutt]

We are NOT in a recession, no matter how badly you want us to be. Sure, we would be if fatso was still in office. Fatty's tariffs crashed the stock market twice during his reign of terror. And Goldman Sachs just said the US will have a huge economic downturn if the rapist wins. These are facts.

[SamIam96]

I feel good.

Donald Trump has always been a loser. Daddy was a rich racist. His wealth got Don started. And dad's racism lives on in his spawn. Selfishness, dishonesty and manipulation has been the root of the Trump "success" story.

Harris is the poster child for the American success story. She pulled herself up by her boot straps, She's poised to be the strongest person on the planet. She has all indications of being our generation's JFK -- prompting us to achieve things that will define the United States for generations.

Conservatives are a cancerous poison on our democracy. I look forward to hacking them away. Vote, vote, vote.

[jennyPuss]

This guy is throwing off his reputation to bet on the anointed one.

The economy is about to tank 1929 style and at the same time we have millions of illegal refugees that we can't take care of that are going to Rob, kill, and rape when people are taking wheel barrels of dollars in to the grocery store to get a loaf of bread.

They are pretending it's a tight race... not even close. That means they are laying the foundation for a narrative that supports the outcome they intend to invent. They will falsify the results, and the media will report what they want... and they will slow walk any investigations until January.

Then it's civil war.

[goaded]

Sounds familiar. Oh, yes, in 2016, Trump was gearing up to make the same bullshit claims he finally got to make in 2020: https://archive.is/OgRaS

[jennyPuss]

@goaded you know the old saying... when your neighbor doesn't have a job, it's a recession. When you don't have a job, it's a depression. There's always going to be nieces of shit deniers out there that don't care because it doesn't affect then. And admitting the problem means admitting that you don't care, and the worst thing in the world would be for bill mahar to feel guilty while sitting on top of his millions of dollars. So that's what they do. They say the homeless beggar is a street performer. Or that he's homeless by choice because he refuses to go into the government operated housing facility. The problem is never the politician that put him there.

[goaded]

I was referring to the "stop the steal" part of your message. Business people, real ones, the ones who have to keep their companies profitable, are backing Harris because Trump's plans (especially tariffs, which only cost the consumer, not the foreign country they're imposed on) will be terrible for the economy, which is pretty much back on the track Obama started it on after the Bush recession.

" Eighty-eight corporate leaders signed a new letter Friday endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris for president.
Signers include former 21st Century Fox CEO James Murdoch, Snap Chairman Michael Lynton, Yelp boss Jeremy Stoppelman and Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen.
If the Democratic nominee wins the White House, they contend, "the business community can be confident that it will have a president who wants American industries to thrive.""

There's even a Murdoch in there!

[jennyPuss]

@goaded she should have lost the race immediately as she said "price controls" ... you think you don't like the price of bread now... at least you can get it. People in Venezuela are fighting over rats and the rich people are flying to other countries to get TOILET PAPER. even CNN is mocking her. She's a fool. And she's fundamentally ignorant. She doesn't just make bad choices. She doesn't know what the hell she's doing. The only thing she can think of is to hand out free shit... except it's not free. The dollar will tank and your 401k and life savings won't buy a loaf of bread. And you people just live in a lah lah land and because it's never happened before you just can't believe that it can. It WILL HAPPEN. as sure as the sun will rise tomorrow.

[goaded]

When did she ever say "Price controls"? Show me a link, bot.

[supercutebutt]

Calm down, Puss. Kamala will win. :)

We will send the rapist to jail.

[jennyPuss]

@goaded www.usatoday.com/.../

[supercutebutt]

Comrade Donald is on Putin's side.

[jennyPuss]

Heels up harris will lift America's heels for putin. That's her playbook that's all she knows how to do

[supercutebutt]

You are so jealous, Puss. You should chillax.

[goaded]

Yeah, the words "price controls" are the article's author's, not Harris'.

One link further: "Harris’ proposal would set rules for corporations so they don’t exploit consumers to run up excessive corporate profits on food and groceries."
eu.usatoday.com/.../

At the same link, consider that Harris specifies "eliminating taxes on tips for service and hospitality workers", not just in general; Trump's proposal would probably allow CEOs to classify their bonuses as tips.

[RainbowMarinade]

I see some of this…..😂

[GoodGuyBreakingBad]

I am happy :)

[GoodGuyBreakingBad]

I'm voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz

[MisterWack]

Everyone needs to VOTE Kamala Harris & Tim Walz to make this prediction true, as a former Trump supporter we saw what happened when people didn’t get out and vote in 2016. VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!

As Tim Walz said, “You can sleep when you’re dead!”

[ProbablyClueless]

Anytime anyone makes a prediction about this election, I just shrug my shoulders and say "maybe." I recently had a friend predict that Kamala and the Democrats will win by a 15-20M "landslide."

I honestly have no idea what's going to happen. I don't even have a preference about the outcome.

[supercutebutt]

All I know is that 70% of Americans didn't want a Trump-Biden rematch. They wanted someone else.

You do the math. :)

[ProbablyClueless]

They didn't want a Trump-Biden rematch, but the political landscape has also changed in some really wild ways. We're in totally uncharted waters right now.

[supercutebutt]

Not really. You can vote for a racist/rapist billionaire or you can vote for Kamala.

Goldman Sachs says Trump would be worse for the economy. His tariffs will increase inflation. Fatso also wants to abolish democracy. He wants to control what women do with their wombs. And he is on Putin's side.

The choice is clear. :)

[ProbablyClueless]

Oh no, these are absolutely uncharted waters, but I guess that's something you'll see as you get more elections under your belt. Also, you should know that Goldman Sachs heavily participated in causing the 2008 market crash. I'd take their insights with a pinch of salt.

I'm glad you have clarity on this situation. Most people see a massive grey area right now (entirely because the things you just said about Trump have never actually been substantiated). Kamala is far from a "pro-Democracy" pick.

[supercutebutt]

Whatever you say, dude. 🙄

[Jersey2]

The middle-class and poor will be the losers. The rich will be fine either way as always… no matter what. She will do little and the economy will continue to stagnate and the debt will continue to climb to unbelievable levels.

I will show no pity when I read posts by people who are hurting financially in the future as this was their moment and too many didn’t care or voted Harris… I just won’t care.

[supercutebutt]

Trump has no economic plan except for tariffs. And because of this, all economists say he will tank the economy. So calm yourself. :)

[Jersey2]

Heh, economists and other experts said he would crash the economy in 2015 if elected and he would start wars, huge wars, he would this and that and it didn’t happen. Quite the contrary, the opposite happened in a lot of cases.

He has been tested and delivered. Harris was tested at the border where she failed miserably and she is still hiding in the basement.

[supercutebutt]

We are still recovering from Trump's incompetence. Everything Fats touches turns to shit.

[Jersey2]

Yeah well I miss the gas prices, the economy, the inflation rate… well, it’s all been said before and yet you are stuck on Harris. But why? Really.

[supercutebutt]

You miss what it was like pre-pandemic, as do all of us. Trump inherited a great economy from President Obama. He did absolutely nothing to make it better. Then a pandemic happened under his watch. Pre-pandemic, his tariffs crashed the stock market twice. His plan in a 2nd term is to put in even more tariffs and to deport immigrants who do cheap labor. Why in the hell do you think he will bring down inflation? All Economists agree that inflation will get worse by deporting cheap labor and increasing tariffs. Also, gas was cheap under Trump because we were in a fucking lockdown and nobody was driving. I wish you could apply logic and do critical thinking. Trump is a moron. Ask anyone who worked with him.

[Jersey2]

President Obama in defense of his lack luster economy told us as President that the post-WWII boom was over and that slow growth was the new normal. Then they said Trump would break the economy and it did hit a bump a few months in and they said “see, we told you so”. But then it took off late in Trump’s first year and then Obama supporters said Obama did that. It was humorous to say the least especially since Obama so often blamed Bush for his bad to lackluster economy… which we also heard how he couldn’t have much impact as President as it was much bigger than the President could effect. It’s very confusing if you listen to him and his supporters but if you just see it as changing with the economic weather, it makes more sense.

I am supposed to be the cutthroat capitalist and yet you argue for low wages. And then tell the poor it is Republican’s fault wages do not rise and how the Dems will fix that but really they love it. So again, these dummies that vote Harris will get what they deserve. I am in fact for the low wage earner making more. It will be better for them and force innovation and get rid of firms that are weak or even zombie firms. Clear the rabble out. Trump was right about the Wu-flu origins, he was right about the need for border controls, he was right about a lot of things. Harris hides in the basement and will do as she is told by the people that set up Biden for her, and even weaker candidate, to run us into the ground over the next 4-8 years. Even you will have difficulty when the bill comes due on the national debt she racks up. The violence that will be unleashed when the economy hits depression will be… fascinating to say the least.

[supercutebutt]

Trump increased the debt more than anyone in history. You are getting your info from propaganda sources like FOX. They lie to you. They told you Trump won the election and that voting machines were rigged. Those were lies. FOX had to pay $800,000,000 because of those filthy lies. Why the fuck do you believe them?

[Jersey2]

Actually I rarely watch Fox News. But I do read an extraordinary number of domestic and foreign news sites including MSNBC and CCN. The debt did go up under Trump, as more people went on Social Security and massive spending continued. She is going to be a disaster, mark my words.

[supercutebutt]

You will call her a disaster no matter what. We had a pandemic and an insurrection under Trump but you like that, I guess.

[Jersey2]

I would be exceptionally happy if she was amazing. I damn near voted Obama. I was a supporter of him early on. And I credit him with several key items that were very good. I simply want what is best for the US and between these two, Trump is the better option. Inflation, unemployment and war await us with Harris.

[supercutebutt]

Inflation will get worse under Trump. We already discussed this topic. Alll economists agree. You can't have tariffs and lower prices. You can't kick out the people who do cheap labor to lower prices.

You are a broken record. Your needle is stuck in a groove of nonsense.

PS TRUMP IS ON PUTIN'S SIDE. He admitted it in the debate when he refused to side with Ukraine.

[Jersey2]

And that’s another thing, Trump was right about the source of Covid. Everyone lambasted him for saying it came from a lab and not a “wet market”. Harris even turned the tables on Trump on that in last night’s debate which was crappy since it was Trump that was right and she was wrong and then she makes it look like it was the other way around. Cute trick and he didn’t call her out in it but in real life, not -resend TV debating, he was right and she and more so-called experts were wrong and that matters.

[Jersey2]

Pretend TV debating*

[Jersey2]

The “experts” are not truly experts, they have been politicized. Remember when they said he would crash the economy if elected in 2016. That didn’t happen. This is the broken record, fake news, fake experts, fake predictions. He also didn’t get us into wars as they said he would. It didn’t happen. He created a vibrant job market and people were happier. You can try and smear it but his strength is his economic leadership and everyone knows it (just read the polls) so it is a bit funny you harp on that.

[supercutebutt]

The source of Covid is still not clear. But Trump 100% praised Xi Jinping. Trump was a disaster.

[Jersey2]

First, China is lying as they lie about everything. The only good thing about that is that people all over the world now know it, not just about Covid but about anything they what to hide. They are constantly lying and cheating.

And now, the US government is a habitual liar with the Biden Administration. There too, everyone knows about it. The media also lies in support of the government which is a sad state of affairs as the media was the watchdog for the people. Now they are the lap dog of politicians as long as they have a (D) next to their name. And now, Google and other high tech firms are helping the liars but manipulating what people see on the internet. Facebook even acknowledges that they suppressed news that is now show to be accurate as they government requested it of them claiming it was fake news.

So yeah, things are purposely opaque. But Occam’s Razor and common sense would dictate that it was man made in a lab. The Wuhan Lab. The only question remaining is, did the Chinese release it on purpose.

The worst thing to happen in the past 15 years is the corruption of the media in the US. Through this, lying has become wholesale and if anything destroys our country, it will be that. And for the Harris voters when they are hungry and without, I absolutely will not care as they did it to themselves. Enjoy your cheap labor.

[supercutebutt]

All I know is I am wealthy. My investments skyrocketed during the 🪄 magical Biden ✨️ years. I wish you were better at handling your finances so you would stop believing MAGA lies out of unnecessary frustration. I feel so sad for you. 😞

[Jersey2]

As am I. My investments are up more than the mean salary in the US today vs yesterday. But I call that a vibration as it is slight overall. I would have thought it would be up more but I have put a lot of my investments overseas and in bonds so not much of a jump. I made these changes for diversification as I am concerned for the US as our debt growth is unsustainable… and Harris will make it worse. At least with Trump we will have growing revenue do to a vibrant economy.

But that doesn’t mean I want cheap labor at the expense of the working man. Seriously, which one of us is the liberal. Not only do the working families have to receive less per hour, their schools and services are overrun as well so they actually pay more and get less. Harris will make tens of millions though and have her three houses. Shaking my head.

[Jersey2]

due to*

[supercutebutt]

"At least with Trump we will have growing revenue do to a vibrant economy."

Based on what? Trump's lies? All respected economists say Trump will be worse for the economy than Harris.

[Jersey2]

The economics said the same nonsense back in 2015. It is scaremongering. I learned to not trust so-called experts in the same way I don’t listen to Jamie Dimon when he tells people that economic trouble is coming as it does the opposite of what he says… which is the point as it allows for cheap buys for him and others before the market sees through his nonsense. And even if that all weren’t so, I don’t know many economics living the good life as their predictions are as good as many astrologers. Any economics living in your area? None here that I know of… lots of business owners and self-made men here… smart people who follow their instincts.

[Jersey2]

Economists*. Auto correct has not been my friend.

[supercutebutt]

The internet even knows you are wrong:

Is protectionism good or bad?

There is a consensus among economists that protectionism has a negative effect on economic growth and economic welfare, while free trade and the reduction of trade barriers have a significantly positive effect on economic growth.

[Jersey2]

But that’s the point, we aren’t on a level playing field. China, Japan and Europe are playing games (as are we as well currently) but they are doing it more and have been for a longtime. We could afford it then and now we cannot.

So let me get this right, the policy we will put in place is unlimited immigration for more people to keep labor cheap and we will expose our markets to true free trade whether other countries do or not.

Did I get that right, that’s the plan that economists rally around or are they just against Trump?

I see it will be cheap for people who have money to buy goods and services. Most people though will find housing impossible and good paying jobs scarce. Good plan, I think that’s the “let them eat cake” plan.

[supercutebutt]

"So let me get this right, the policy we will put in place is unlimited immigration for more people"

Nope. Future President Harris already said she will not hesitate to sign the bipartisan border bill.

You and Trump are protectionists because you want extreme tariffs. The cost gets passed to the consumer. All economists know this and are warning that inflation will get worse if the cost of previously affordable goods from China become unaffordable.

[Jersey2]

So she was responsible to fix the border crisis and given that task by Biden. She had 4 years to fix it or do something at least. Nothing happened. Crickets. Absolutely nothing.

She can get things going now, right now. But no. She waits until she gets in. She still does nothing. This is the “if you give me a hamburger today, I will gladly pay you on Tuesday” ploy. Even if it is not, she let in everyone and their brother over 4 years. What will she do about the ones here! Nothing.

So the same economists that said Trump would crash the economy when it now in hindsight was his greatest strength, economists who haven’t made billions or even millions with their so called knowledge, and were completely wrong in 2015. Completely wrong.

Economists are best at explaining the past more than the future. Are they talking about “stagflation”. Because I have been for years, since 2019 actually and now, yesterday I believe, Jamie Dimon and others are openly talking about it even though he is very late to that party.

Stagflation, that is our future with Harris. We are not on a level playing field with China and other countries who are dumping and using protectionism. Harris will have us yet again, because we have tried it in the past, go in to a gun fight with nothing but a goofy smile.

Be smart about it. It is like doing a negotiation with liars and cheats which I have done) while trying to be totally honest and trusting… it does not end well. So naive.

[supercutebutt]

Didn't we already discuss this? Trump smashed the bipartisan border bill. He told his cultists in Congress to kill it hoping he could get re-elected, running on the problem he himself caused. Trump is at fault.

President Biden had to enact an executive order to fix the problem after Trump pulled his filthy stunt.

[Jersey2]

Honestly, I do not know if he did or not as I wasn’t involved and neither were you. Again, this is the problem with stems from a habitually lying Federal government and mass media, both of whom told us everything was fine with Biden’s mental capacity for years… until it was literally in the spotlight on live Television.

But the bottom line on that one is that the current Administration and VP let it go unchecked for years. And as I said, there is no plan to stem the damage as in what will be done to deport millions? Nothing obviously. And they will all get their family members in and it will continue. But we will get cheap lawn care I guess.

[Jersey2]

which stems*

[supercutebutt]

"Honestly, I do not know if he did or not as I wasn’t involved and neither were you."

This isn't up for debate. Republicans were for the bill until Trump told them to kill it so he could run on a broken border:

"The bill quickly fell apart, however, as Trump vocally denounced the bill and urged Republicans not to pass it, calling it a “gift” to Democrats"

www.forbes.com/.../

[Jersey2]

So I just read a bunch of pages of

www.congress.gov/.../text

It is millions for shelters, for studies of immigration routes, for some more observation towers, for lawyers, for testing of fentanyl… it just a big money giveaway. We need to push them back across the border and send those here to their homes. We need to enforce our laws that are in the books. One Republican was involved from what I can see. I don’t even know of him. And it was sponsored by a Senate Democrat. It’s just more spending and no action to enforce our laws. It’s a dodge.

Why can’t they enforce our laws like has been done for generations? Why not? This Bill was political BS meant to either show Biden is doing something or Republicans are blocking. Its complete bullshit.

[supercutebutt]

False. Republicans loved it until Trump told them to squash it. So Biden had to do an exective order.

KAMALA 2024! :)

[Jersey2]

Son trump was right again… just spending money. Now that Biden has spent the money though, why haven’t we seen vast reductions in immigration and huge deportations? Where are the results? Or at least the beginning of the results. Does the Border Patrol support Harris now? No… why do you think this is such a big bill to help, it just spends money and runs up the debt. Did you even read it?

[Jersey2]

Typo… So*

[supercutebutt]

Since the executive order, border crossings are lower than when Fatso was dragged kicking and screaming from the White House in January, 2021. FACT.

www.theguardian.com/.../number-border-crossing-mexico-biden

[Jersey2]

So are we to see those that crossed illegally by the millions deported or denied services and benefits? Especially since the vast majority do not make their court dates? Hmmm?

[Jersey2]

Oh and wouldn’t be the Biden Administration reporting those numbers now? They have no credibility.

[bayoubob]

Remember the folks that make money from talking to dead ancestors? That's basically what he's doing. Meaning his opinion probably changes 18 hundred times, based on nothing. As time goes on, reassesses, flip flopping again and again. Then when it comes down to the wire, he will change his mind again. You are telling me he didn't 1000% tell people Hillary would win? Probably on election day at 8 PM he says Trump will win. Well, no shit sherlock!

[AviatorTom]

Allan Lichtman clearly said in an interview that his system only applies when there is an incumbent President, and there is no incumbent in 2024. He originally predicted Biden would win, but Biden is no longer running.

[supercutebutt]

He is predicting a Kamala victory, though. And his prediction will be correct. :)

Nobody sane wants Fucko the Rapist back in the White House.

[Anonymous]

Reminder this is the same dude who 5 weeks ago said dumping Biden would be a huge mistake, so I'm not paying attention to his prediction. I wouldn't be so confident in Harris winning, everyone was so confidant in 2016 that Hillary would win only for her to lose, same thing could happen again in 2024. Only way to ensure Harris wins is to get out and vote.

[supercutebutt]

We'll find out soon enough. :)

[beefcakebradybatson]

TEN MILLION TIMES better than if Polling "Nostradamus" chose Trump as the winner !!!

[Anonymous]

Brought me joy watching all the Democrats having meltdowns when his prediction turned out to be false. Maybe next time Democrats will elect a candidate capable of winning instead of relying no nonsense like this supposed political Nostradamus.

[Anonymous]

Do Trump supporters use bronzer, hair dye, girdles, and shoulder pads too?

Just curious.

[Jerre]

This will be a time when he’s wrong. Trump will win in a landslide!

[supercutebutt]

Oh wow. LOL!

[Iron_Man]

She will lose. then I want you to write Donald Trump an apology letter

[legalboxers]

Trump and his evil band of AntiChrist turd buckets will do something

[Still-alive]

Good!

[exitseven]

I trust the Vegas odds makers.

[ChefPapiChulo]

Her chances of winning goes up every day.