Is it reasonable to assume I probably will not get this job?

I am a web app developer with close to 4 years of professional experience. I am mid-to-senior level.

There is a role that I was a top candidate for. It pays the top 5% salary in the entire company, but comes with a shit load of responsibility.

The recruiter called me Thursday, Sept. 26 to tell me the good news. Sadly, it is Tuesday, Sept. 8, and I have not heard any positive updates. I sent some material off for review the day of the phone call.

Do you think at this point they are focusing more on other candidates?

Yes
No
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Updates
6 mo
Correction... today is October 8
Is it reasonable to assume I probably will not get this job?
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