www.pewresearch.org/2020/09/23/the-changing-racial-and-ethnic-composition-of-the-u-s-electorate/
In 2000, Whites made up 76% of the voting population in the United States, by 2018 that they only made up 67% of the voting population. Blacks have held steady at on 12% to 13%, but but Non- White Hispanics have increased from 7% to 13%, which makes them the fastest growing population within the United States. With Asian's and others increasing by a combined 3%.
Minorities lean Democratic
www.pewresearch.org/2020/09/23/the-changing-racial-and-ethnic-composition-of-the-u-s-electorate/
Minorities lean Democratic
In 2019 53% of whites were leaning Republication, all others were leaning democratic. The Democrat's throughout the 1990's promoted a "Big Tent" strategy, which meant they embraced a larger party platform that would grow their party by embracing policies that would attract more people of color to the them. But as you look at the numbers, the Blacks have increased from 81 to 83, Hispanics from 57 to 63, and Asians from 53 to 72. But combined Hispanics, Blacks and Asians make up 30% of the total population.
Independents are more likely to think unfavorably of Democrats
www.pewresearch.org/politics/2014/06/12/appendix-b-why-we-include-leaners-with-partisans/
If you look at the chart above what you find in the blue circle is that few Identified Democratic Voters, Leaning Democratic Voters and all Independents have unfavorable views of Republicans in comparison to Republican's Leaners and All Independents. There are very higher unfavorable views of Democrat's. Traditionally Independents vote 44% Democratic and 42% Republican, leaving14% that vote either way... but in 2022 far more Independents are viewing Democratic Party as being very unfavorable. Even if the Republicans can improve that form 42% to 44 to 46% that could have huge impacts, like we saw in 2016.
Why are Democrats losing Independents?
This is where I start to get into my personal opinions and away from statics. Traditionally I was a solid Democrat, that became an Independent that leaned Democratic. But in 2022 I have very unfavorable views of the Democratic Party. Even though the Republican do not offer me much, as a white male I feel the Democratic Party as moved too far left and no longer champion the causes I once thought of as being beneficial to the middle class or society as a whole. For example, the Trump Tax Bill screwed me pretty hard. I make over 6 figures so most would consider me rich right?
Democrats will champion "Tax the Rich."
I am taxed, I paid $13,000 in taxes this this year. Its the corporations that are not being taxed and cost of everything is still going up. What have Democrats done or said about changing that Tax Bill? NOTHING! Instead they talk about minimum wage increases, then want to cry about inflation. Of course Corporations are making record profits, and minimum wage workers have more money than ever, so the cost is going up for everything. So increasing minimum wages do nothing for anyone, but increase prices for everything we pay minimum wage workers to do.
Immigration
We have laws in this country, and those laws should be enforced. If you are immigrant that did not attempt to enter this country through a lawful port of entry, you need to be sent back. If did so by legal means the you should be treated fairly in accordance to the law. I do not believe that people who broke the law by attempting to enter illegally should be afforded a trail, caught and released. They are not citizens and they should not be afforded the same rights as tax paying Americans. Do it illegally or be sent back immediately any thing less only promotes or empowers them to break the law.
When I was a kid California was 76% white (1996) ..today Whites are the minority at 45% of the population (2020). Whites are still the largest single ethic group, but whites are leaving California and moving to states like Idaho, Texas, Arizona among others are record rates. Its just too expensive to live here any more, and more or less California is become a welfare state.
LGBTQ & Social Injustice Causes
If Dems are building their platform on promoting LGBTQ and Social Injustice platforms then that is great, but it does not to anything for me as white heterosexual male voter. I am not indifferent to Social Injustice, but at the same time laws are laws and they need to be enforced, and we need police officers to enforce them. On LGBTQ, quit honestly that's not an America I want to live in. Human civilization has managed this subject for millennia, I think the political exploitation and manipulation of these issue in not good for the future of our society, and does not align with vast majority of our cultural values as a society.
Women Rights
I never was pro-abortion but I am not happy about Roe vs Wade being thrown out either. But again as a white heterosexual male I care less about it than other issues.
What's your Point David get on with it.
My point is that Trump won, in 2016 because he went to key battle grounds and spoke directly to disenfranchised white male voters, and I do not think the Dems got the message. Instead the Dems are doubling down on their liberal agenda and in doing so are making the tent larger for everyone else except white male voters... and pretty soon even the women will figure this out. Because a lot of these women are mothers, and just like me I was fine with gay marriage and civil unions and we thought that would be the end of it. But now they have to look at their kids every day and ask themselves, this LGBTQ thing is not something I as a mother can afford to believe will not or can not happen to my kids. Policing the streets, sure we want social justice for everyone, but it can't be down at the expense of law enforcement. We want our kids and families to be safe. We are working harder and getting no where fast, being taxed to death and nothing is really getting better, even though we live in a country that affords more freedoms and civil liberates to all ethnic groups then anyone else, and all they do is bitch about it.
So I did not vote in 2016 or 2020 because I did not like Trump and I did not like Biden...but this year not voting is not an option to me, because apparently the Democrats are not getting the message... by not voting my voice is silent. So I am voting straight Republican up and down the the ballot. I think I will not be alone, because its happened and will continue to happen.
But the Republicans have to come up with someone better than Trump, or they will blow it.
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