Which scenario is most likely?

[Anonymous]

My city is announcing 2 scenarios of snowfall for this weekend the 1st is 5cm and the 2nd is 15cm, knowing that we in late March-spring time, which one seems more likely?

Updates

+1 y

I live in Montreal, Quebec, Canada

[Oliverlogan263]

Here are some thoughts on which snowfall scenario seems more likely based on the information provided:

- Since it's late March/springtime now, temperatures are starting to warm up more consistently. So heavier snowfalls of 15cm seem less probable at this point in the season.

- Only 5cm is still possible though since it's not fully into April/May yet. We might get a last hurrah of a smaller spring storm before things really start melting.

- The weather has been pretty flip-floppy too - one day warm, next day could get cold again. So a lighter dusting of 5cm that doesn't stick around too long seems more on trend.

- 15cm would be a pretty solid storm still and might cause some issues since everything is starting to thaw out. Could make for slushy messy driving conditions.

If I had to guess, I'd say the 5cm scenario has a better chance of hitting. Not a ton of snow but just enough for a brief reminder that winter's not fully done with us yet! Hopefully it doesn't mess with any weekend plans too much if we do get it. Fingers crossed it's not too bad whatever we end up with.

[Asker]

Okok thanks bro for ur always detailed answers and advices!

[Asker]

by the way did u listen to Metro Boomin and Future’s new album, any thoughts on it?

[Asker]

And do u think the show we getting this weekend would be the last one of the winter season, or it could still snow in April?

[Oliverlogan263]

No problem man, always happy to give my thoughts on stuff!

I haven’t heard it or listen much of their music like that man.

As for the snow this weekend, I'm thinking it's gotta be one of the last shows of the winter for us. Usually April is pushing it to still be getting big snowfalls, and the weather has started to feel a bit more spring-like lately. I could see maybe one or two smaller ones in early April but I'd be surprised if we got dumped on again after this. Doesn't really feel like winter's fully letting go yet with these forecasts, but I bet once we get through the weekend that'll be it for snow season! Gonna enjoy shovelling this last round I think haha.

This talk is making me jones for some warmer weather man, spring can't come fast enough. Hope you're holding up alright with all the snow still coming down - let me know what you end up doing this weekend!

[Asker]

Okok haha thanks bro and by the way u should really listen to the album there’s a Kendrick Lamar diss against Drake n J. Cole and sum good songs lol

[Oliverlogan263]

anytime bruh and I don’t know but I may try now you suggest it

[Asker]

Okok

[laly520]

maybe first

[Asker]

Really? Cool then!