Bernie Sanders' Strength Is His Biggest Weakness.

[EnglishArtsteacher]

It's election season!

Since I'm an independent voter who doesn't affiliate with political parties, I will do myTakes on multiple political parties(Possiby the third parties as well).

On the Democratic side, we have two moderate candidates running: Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Bernie Sanders has been in INDEPENDENT senator in Vermont for decades-Who has CRITICIZED the Democratic party heavily in the past. The media deems him as "far left" or "liberal", but he's more moderate(leaning SLIGHTLY left). He admits he is a socialist(and socialism is SCORNED here in the United States of America), so this was a brave move on his part.

Hillary Clinton is a lifelong democrat, and current Secretary of State for Barack Obama. However, some of her views are conservative, and she is often viewed as a "Moderate Democrat." She is a former senator of New York.

The current primary issue is: Who is more electable? I don't think either one have a good chance of beating a Republican. We've seen eight years with a Democrat, so history tells us we will see eight years of a Republican. Given the record turnout for the GOP on the Iowa caucus night, I'd say that looks "ugly" for the Democrats. However, here is what I think.

First of all, I'm currently LEANING towards Hillary Clinton for my vote. I'm not near as passionate for her as I was in 2008(she's changed too much), but I think she is the most qualified candidate for the job. There are only TWO candidates I am 100 percent sure I will not vote for: Ted Cruz, and Donald Trump(If you want to know why, message me). However, there is still a chance I will vote for any of the other candidates running. With that being said, here is a completely unbiased analysis of what I think, and why I think so. I'll warn you right now, this post is not politically correct.

THE PROBLEM: I don't think Bernie Sanders is currently electable, where as Hillary Clinton has a BETTER CHANCE in the general election than Sanders.

WHY IS THIS?: According to social media blogs, sites, polls, and the media(granted, not the most credible sources), African-American and Latino voters STRONGLY PREFER Hillary Clinton as opposed to Bernie Sanders.

SO......AS I STATED...........The biggest problem Bernie Sanders has is is STRENGTH: White voters. The biggest problem he has is securing the Latino and African-American vote(as well as other minority groups). The Democrats will have a VERY hard time winning an election WITHOUT the Latino and African-American vote alone. Obama lost the Caucasian vote in 2008, AND 2012, yet, beat both McCain and Romney. Why? Because if you combine the racial minority groups, they outnumber Whites significantly(assuming they have a significant turnout). These groups turned out BIG time for Obama. Young White voters voted for McCain and Romney. White WOMEN voted for McCain and Romney. So, it's not about age or gender(as the media points out): It's racially divided(Our politically correct media won't admit it).

For the nomination, it doesn't matter much if Bernie wins the "White" states. Winning the northeast region of the county, and western-plains states hardly means anything. However, if Hillary can win the key swing states, and southern states, that right there should secure her the nomination. Below I list the problems with Sanders in the nomination AND General Election.

States where the Latino vote will impact for the nomination and election: California(biggest delegate count state in primaries), Texas(Second biggest delegate count state in primaries), Nevada(a key swing-state in the election), Colorado(Another key swing state in the election), New Mexico(Another key swing-state in the election), Florida(Arguably the most important swing-state, and a huge delegate state in the primaries), New York(Hillary's home state anyway, plus a huge delegate state).

States where the African-American vote will impact for the nomination and election: Ohio(Arguably the most important swing-state, and a huge delegate count state in the primaries), Michigan(A slightly BLUE state, but a huge delegate count state in the election), Pennsylvania(Another slightly BLUE state, but a huge delegate count state in the election), Illinois(A HUGE delegate count state in the primaries) the entire southeast region(All of the states are medium size states, with the exception of the HUGE states of Georgia, and North Carolina. However, these combined will rack up the delegates for Hillary Clinton).

TOP TEN STATES(Including D.C.) WITH THE MOST ELECTORAL VOTES, AND DELEGATES

1. California(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to the Latino vote; Virtually always votes for a Democrat in the election)

2. Texas(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to the Latino vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

3. Florida(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to the Latino vote; KEY swing-state in election)

4. New York(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to it being her senator state(And the Latino and African-American vote); Virtually always votes for a Democrat in the election)

5. Illinois(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to the African-American vote; Virtually always votes for a Democrat in the election)

6. Pennsylvania(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to the African-American vote; Has a better chance of voting for a Democrat in the election than Republican)

7. Ohio(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to the African-American vote; KEY swing state in the election)

8. Georgia(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to African-American vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

9. North Carolina(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to African-American vote; Tends to vote for a Republican before a Democrat)

10. Michigan(Projected for Clinton in the primaries due to African-American vote; Tends to vote for a Democrat before a Republican)

TOP TEN STATES(Including D.C.) WITH THE LEAST ELECTORAL VOTES, AND DELEGATES

1. Wyoming(Projected for Sanders, due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

2. Vermont(Projected for Sanders, since it's the WHITEST state, and his home state; Virtually always votes for a Democrat in the election)

3. Washington D.C.(Projected for Clinton due to the African-Amerian vote; Has never voted for a Republican in the election)

4. Alaska(Tough call. Bernie Sanders has the upper hand with the White vote, while Clinton may win among Native Americans(Which is a huge impact here). Either way, it's a state which will probably vote Sanders in the Primaries(Due to the Whites), and has only voted for a Democrat ONE time in its history in the election).

5. North Dakota(Projected for Sanders due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

6. South Dakota(Projected for Sanders due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

7. Delaware(Projected for Sanders due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Democrat in the election)

8. Montana(Projected for Sanders due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

9. Rhode Island(Projected for Sanders due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

10. Maine(Projected for Sanders due to the White vote; Virtually always votes for a Republican in the election)

CURRENTLY, Hillary Clinton has a good chance of winning the top ten biggest states in the primary season-Which makes it VERY hard for Sanders to win.

CURRENTLY, Bernie Sanders has a good chance of winning nine out of the top ten smallest contests(Except for D.C.) in the election season-Which barely means anything.

CURRENT SWING STATE TRENDS

Iowa: Already voted for Clinton(Although it was the cloest matchup in Democratic history)

Florida: As I stated, projected for Clinton

Ohio: As I stated, projected for Clinton

Colorado: As I stated, projected for Clinton

Nevada: As I stated, projected for Clinton

New Hampshire: Projected for Sanders

New Mexico: As I stated, Projected for Clinton

Clinton is more popular(at the moment) in six out of the seven swing-states-And New Hampshire is so small, it hardly impacts anything.

Bernie Sanders Breakdown: 1. If he gets to the General election, he is going to win the states the Democrats are going to win in the general election anyway(Such as Vermont, Maine, Rhode .Island, Delaware, Massachusetts). 2.In the primary season, he is probably going to win states which have NO chance of voting for a Democrat in the general election(Such as Alaska, Montana, Utah, Idaho, Nebraska, Kansas, etc). 3. In the primary season, he is probably going to win too many small and meaningless states(Again, the low-delegate count states). 4. Bernie Sanders isn't popular in the swing-states(This is an election killer).

Conclusion: If Bernie Sanders wants to defeat Hillary(and win the general election), he is going to have to swing the Latino and African-American voters, AND get them to turn out(the same way Obama did in 2008, and 2012).

HOWEVER......

-Maybe Bernie Sanders will be popular among racial minorities afterall and the projections are entirely off?

-Maybe Bernie Sanders can win such a large percentage of White voters, the racial minority voters won't matter as much(He would need about 80 percent of White voters).

-Maybe Bernie Sanders can PERSUADE the racial minority groups to vote for him?(Assuming he is struggling among this group).

-Maybe something catastrohpic will happen to cause Hillary to tank immensely?

There is hope for the Sanders supporters.

[7121uc]

I cannot believe that you are calling both Hillary and Bernie moderates. Hillary wants to continue Obama's policies and recent polls show that Americans want a president that will lead the country into another direction. Bernie sanders is a socialist so he cannot be a moderate. An example of a moderate was Bill Clinton, he raised some taxes, but cut welfare. Both Hillary and Bernie have no intention of cutting entitlement programs. I find it funny that when Bush was president, liberals made a big issue of the national debt. Now that Obama doubled the debt from 10 trillion to 20 trillion democrats act like we have all the money in the world. I really hope these two do not become president. We need a different direction, lets return to what made America great, a capitalistic society with small government.

[EnglishArtsteacher]

Just because Bernie Sanders agrees with socialism doesn't make him a moderate (By the way, Hillary Clinton also agrees with socialism).

Hillary has very conservative views, and Bernie Sanders ran as an INDEPENDENT for DECADES-Who has criticized the Democratic party in the past. Independents are nearly always moderate in views.

[SilenRose]

Interesting myTake. Good job.

[EnglishArtsteacher]

Thanks.
I never realized how accurate this "MyTake" would be.

[tupperware]

Bernie's biggest problem is that he's a self-proclaimed socialist. Whether anyone likes it or not, this is a center-right country. You think the independents won't come out of the woodwork to vote against a socialist? And being a socialist, what's the likelihood he could get anything through congress?

The fact that Iowa turned out 50/50 is a vote of no-confidence in both candidates. The socialist, or the corporate candidate who has more flip-flop in her history than the Santa Monica pier? "Neither... flip a coin."

[EnglishArtsteacher]

You make good points, but keep in mind Hillary Clinton claims to be a socialist too.

I will say, even the most liberal people I know disagree with socialism. The United States seems to soak up capitalism.

[tupperware]

I've never heard her claim the term, but I believe it. Her actions and policies point that way, and I have heard her avoid the question numerous times.

If Trump is able to get enough delegates through primaries that even the party can't shut him down with their "unpledged delegates" then whichever way the Dems go, in November it'll be "socialist establishment candidate vs. irreverent but popular capitalist." If that happens, this time next year the White House will be renovating to add a comb-over salon.

[LiveFreeorDieHard]

I dont know why minorities dont want to vote for bernie. He has been a supporter of civil right sibce his college days. He is also trying to implement policies that would likely help them the most. Cmon guys, i know he is anoldwhite dude, but hereally cares about all of us.

[EnglishArtsteacher]

I don't think racial minorities refuse to vote for Bernie Sanders, they just don't know him. I think it's the fact Hillary Clinton helped out with the Latinos and African-Americans during the 1990's during Bill Clinton's presidency. Since she connected with them, they have been loyal to her ever since (Obama stole her thunder because he was HALF black).

Have you ever heard people joke, and say Bill Clinton was the FIRST "Black" president? Lol.

[QuestionMan]

You won't vote for Cruz but you'll vote for Hillary. You realize they're practically the same.
They both flip flop and say whatever it takes to make them look good.
She's also anti-gun and an Obama copy cat.

If you're voting democrat go with Sanders. He may be a socialist but he's the best the Democrats got.
If you vote Republican vote for Kasich.

[EnglishArtsteacher]

Hillary Clinton, and Ted Cruz are nothing alike. Just because they both flip-flopped doesn't mean they're "practically the same." Every single politician flip-flops (Research Sanders and you'll be surprised). The only reason she's deemed an Obama "copy-cat" is because she happened to be part of his administration (Or people just say that because they're both Democrats).

I live in Ohio, and there is no way I could vote for Kasich ( I forgot to mention him in my "My-Take". He is a joke, and has completely DE-FUNDED education-And as a teacher, I can't have that happening. I think I would honestly (And I can't believe I'm saying this) vote for Trump over Kasich.

[SilenRose]

If you want I can share some Sanders issues he's flip flopped on and post things Sanders has said to make him self look good.
Bernie is pro gun. Accepts NRA money and votes in their favor.

Sanders is a Independent and not a true democrat. He only switched last year to run as a democratic under the presidential election. He's still running for the Vermont Senate under "Independent" while he campaigns for the presidential election.

[QuestionMan]

@SilenRose Sure I'd love to read a myTake about that