If a guy's friends say he likes me but he doesn't seem to, how likely is that he actually likes me?

My crush's friends (which are kinda? my friends too but not as much) keep teasing me and saying he likes me, sometimes they exaggerate a lot. Said crush doesn't demonstrate it though, we're friendly to eachother but it's mostly me who insists in at least talking to him in a daily basis (which people don't find weird at all, since I'm known for being friendly). I also never told anybody I like him so there's no way for them to know. What do you think?
He probably likes you
I don't know
They're lying to tease you/him
Other
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If a guy's friends say he likes me but he doesn't seem to, how likely is that he actually likes me?
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